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San Marcos vs AD Cantolao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
0 - 3
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Marcos host AD Cantolao in the Liga 2. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: San Marcos at 0.33 goals for, 2.43 against; AD Cantolao at 1.17 for, 1.79 against. Head-to-head, San Marcos have won 0 to AD Cantolao's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 26, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.60 xG vs 2.06) point toward AD Cantolao. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
San Marcos
20%
Draws
80%
AD Cantolao
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Cantolao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • AD Cantolao have won more games recently than San Marcos.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on AD Cantolao taking it.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and AD Cantolao have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
San Marcos Clean Sheet 10%
AD Cantolao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Marcos AD Cantolao
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 23 14
Goals Scored 0.33 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Liga 2
San Marcos vs AD Cantolao
0:3
Apr 3, 2026 Liga 2
AD Cantolao vs San Marcos
5:1
Sep 8, 2024 Liga 2
San Marcos vs AD Cantolao
0:1
Aug 12, 2024 Liga 2
AD Cantolao vs San Marcos
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marcos 10 / 100
AD Cantolao 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Marcos AD Cantolao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Cantolao Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Cantolao let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

San Marcos's goal record stands at 27% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: AD Cantolao registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Marcos VS AD Cantolao
0 Goals Scored 1.13
3 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Marcos

(Home)
29 Aug
ADA Jaen
3 : 0
San Marcos
23 Aug
San Marcos
0 : 3
U. San Martin
16 Aug
Llacuabamba
3 : 0
San Marcos
09 Aug
San Marcos
0 : 3
Carlos Mannucci
02 Aug
Pirata
3 : 0
San Marcos
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AD Cantolao

(Away)
07 Oct
AD Cantolao
0 : 3
Santos FC
25 Sept
Binacional
2 : 2
AD Cantolao
13 Sept
U. San Martin
2 : 2
AD Cantolao
05 Sept
AD Cantolao
3 : 2
Llacuabamba
29 Aug
Carlos Mannucci
2 : 0
AD Cantolao
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 16 9 5 2 19:5 32
2 Carlos Mannucci 16 9 3 4 22:12 30
3 Llacuabamba 16 8 4 4 23:10 28
4 Pirata 16 7 4 5 25:20 25
5 U. San Martin 16 7 3 6 26:17 24
6 ADA Jaen 16 6 6 4 17:12 24
7 Cesar Vallejo 15 5 4 6 14:13 19
8 AD Cantolao 16 3 5 8 19:30 14
9 San Marcos 15 0 0 15 1:47 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
2 Tacna Heroica 16 7 5 4 20:16 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 3 6 21:15 24
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 6 5 5 20:17 23
6 Ayacucho 16 6 4 6 22:19 22
7 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)