Sport Picks
San Marcos vs Llacuabamba
Peru
Liga 2 2025 Estadio Olimpico de San Marcos, Lima 
Match Events
17'
17'
Saffadi D.
27'
27'
Gadea A.
28'
28'
Aguirre J.
AI Match Summary
San Marcos in this Liga 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Marcos.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Llacuabamba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Llacuabamba lately — more wins on the board than San Marcos.
- Model gives Llacuabamba a 80% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.4%
San Marcos Clean Sheet 10%
Llacuabamba Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Marcos | Llacuabamba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 23 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.33 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.43 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs San Marcos
3:0
May 2, 2026 Liga 2
San Marcos vs Llacuabamba
0:3
May 31, 2025 Liga 2
San Marcos vs Llacuabamba
3:0
Apr 12, 2025 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs San Marcos
1:0
Jul 13, 2024 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs San Marcos
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Marcos Compare
Top Goalscorer Saffadi D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Sanchez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Llacuabamba Compare
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Marcos 10 / 100
Llacuabamba 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Marcos Llacuabamba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Llacuabamba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
San Marcos found the back of the net in 27% of recent matches (30 games).
Llacuabamba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.
Llacuabamba's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
San Marcos VS Llacuabamba
0 Goals Scored 1.63
3 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
San Marcos
(Home) 29 Aug
ADA Jaen
3 : 0 San Marcos
23 Aug
San Marcos
0 : 3 U. San Martin
16 Aug
Llacuabamba
3 : 0 San Marcos
09 Aug
San Marcos
0 : 3 Carlos Mannucci
02 Aug
Pirata
3 : 0 San Marcos
Page 1 of 6
23 Aug
San Marcos
0 : 3 U. San Martin
09 Aug
San Marcos
0 : 3 Carlos Mannucci
26 Jul
San Marcos
0 : 3 AD Cantolao
17 May
San Marcos
0 : 3 ADA Jaen
02 May
San Marcos
0 : 3 Llacuabamba
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Llacuabamba
(Away) 13 Sept
Llacuabamba
0 : 0 Pirata
05 Sept
AD Cantolao
3 : 2 Llacuabamba
30 Aug
Llacuabamba
1 : 1 Union Comercio
23 Aug
Cesar Vallejo
2 : 0 Llacuabamba
16 Aug
Llacuabamba
3 : 0 San Marcos
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
AD Cantolao
3 : 2 Llacuabamba
23 Aug
Cesar Vallejo
2 : 0 Llacuabamba
08 Aug
ADA Jaen
0 : 0 Llacuabamba
19 Jul
Carlos Mannucci
1 : 0 Llacuabamba
20 Jun
FC Cajamarca
1 : 1 Llacuabamba
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Cajamarca | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19:13 | 25 |
| 2 | San Marcos | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 9:5 | 18 |
| 3 | Cesar Vallejo | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14:10 | 17 |
| 4 | Carlos Mannucci | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17:14 | 17 |
| 5 | ADA Jaen | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:13 | 16 |
| 6 | Llacuabamba | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | 15 |
| 7 | Pirata | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5:16 | 10 |
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2025 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Comerciantes FC | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25:12 | 28 |
| 2 | Moquegua | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 25 |
| 3 | Union Comercio | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 24:19 | 23 |
| 4 | Tacna Heroica | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 25:21 | 23 |
| 5 | Santos FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 6 | U. San Martin | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 17:20 | 20 |
| 7 | Deportivo Coopsol | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13:25 | 12 |
| 8 | AD Cantolao | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7:21 | 4 |
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2025 (Relegation Group)
