Sport Picks

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San Marcos vs Walter Ferreti

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Olier A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Primera game between San Marcos and Walter Ferreti finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Marcos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
San Marcos
15%
Draws
26%
Walter Ferreti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Marcos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Walter Ferreti come out ahead of San Marcos on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga Primera form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
San Marcos Clean Sheet 16%
Walter Ferreti Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Marcos Walter Ferreti
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.37 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Liga Primera
San Marcos vs Walter Ferreti
1:0
Mar 5, 2014 Liga Primera
San Marcos vs Walter Ferreti
1:4
Jan 16, 2014 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs San Marcos
0:0
Oct 2, 2013 Liga Primera
San Marcos vs Walter Ferreti
1:3
Aug 15, 2013 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs San Marcos
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Marcos Compare

Top Goalscorer Olier A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Walter Ferreti Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marcos 30 / 100
Walter Ferreti 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Marcos Walter Ferreti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Marcos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Marcos found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Walter Ferreti's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: San Marcos stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Marcos VS Walter Ferreti
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

San Marcos

(Home)
05 Sept
San Marcos
3 : 1
Jalapa
03 Sept
Esteli
2 : 0
San Marcos
30 Aug
San Marcos
1 : 0
Walter Ferreti
23 Aug
Rancho Santana
1 : 2
San Marcos
16 Aug
Matagalpa
1 : 0
San Marcos
Page 1 of 6

Walter Ferreti

(Away)
06 Sept
Walter Ferreti
2 : 3
Managua FC
02 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 1
Walter Ferreti
30 Aug
San Marcos
1 : 0
Walter Ferreti
24 Aug
Walter Ferreti
0 : 1
UNAN-Managua
15 Aug
Rancho Santana
1 : 3
Walter Ferreti
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Managua FC 9 7 2 0 27:9 23
2 Diriangen 9 7 2 0 20:6 23
3 Esteli 9 5 3 1 17:6 18
4 UNAN-Managua 9 5 2 2 11:7 17
5 Sport Sebaco 9 3 2 4 9:17 11
6 San Marcos 9 3 1 5 8:14 10
7 Matagalpa 9 3 0 6 4:16 9
8 Walter Ferreti 9 2 1 6 12:16 7
9 Rancho Santana 9 1 2 6 7:14 5
10 Jalapa 9 1 1 7 4:14 4
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)