Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 San Marino Stadium

Adrense

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

San Marino Calcio play Adrense in the Serie D - Group D 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, San Marino Calcio averaged 1.06 goals scored and 1.81 conceded. Adrense averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, San Marino Calcio won 1, Adrense won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 28, 2019 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.79 for San Marino Calcio and 1.69 for Adrense. This points to a Adrense double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

San Marino Calcio

25%

Draws

44%

Adrense

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Adrense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

San Marino Calcio picked up more points recently compared to Adrense.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.79 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

San Marino Calcio Clean Sheet 13%

Adrense Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	San Marino Calcio	Adrense
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	8	12
Draws	7	8
Losses	16	10
Goals Scored	1.06	1.43
Goals Conceded	1.81	1.4

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2019 Serie D - Group D

San Marino Calcio vs Adrense

Possession: 51% - 46% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Dec 16, 2018 Serie D - Group D

Adrense vs San Marino Calcio

Possession: 54% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marino Calcio 31 / 100

Adrense 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

San Marino Calcio Adrense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Adrense or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +34.8%

4.35

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Marino Calcio attacking → ← attacking Adrense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Marino Calcio scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Adrense let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

San Marino Calcio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Adrense lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 44

0.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pergolettese	34	22	7	5	62:32	73
2	Modena	34	21	10	3	60:27	73
3	Reggiana	34	19	9	6	57:28	66
4	Fanfulla	34	16	9	9	58:52	57
5	Fiorenzuola	34	16	8	10	52:31	56
6	Crema	34	12	13	9	52:50	49
7	Adrense	34	12	11	11	45:45	47
8	Vigor Carpaneto	34	11	14	9	42:35	47
9	Axys Zola	34	11	8	15	40:45	41
10	Ciliverghe Mazzano	34	11	8	15	38:48	41
11	Lentigione	34	8	15	11	34:36	39
12	Desenzano Calvina	34	8	15	11	40:51	39
13	Pavia	34	9	9	16	32:46	36
14	Mezzolara	34	7	14	13	39:50	35
15	Sasso Marconi	34	8	10	16	31:50	34
16	San Marino Calcio	34	5	16	13	24:32	31
17	USD Classe 1974	34	6	12	16	25:51	30
18	OltrepoVoghera	34	3	14	17	22:44	23