Sport Picks
San Marino Calcio vs Aquila Calcio Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 
Match Events
39'
39'
Sambou B.
45'
45'
Brunetti A.
76'
76'
Di Renzo L.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Aquila Calcio in this Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aquila Calcio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aquila Calcio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Aquila Calcio lately — more wins on the board than San Marino Calcio.
- Model gives Aquila Calcio a 43% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 54.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
San Marino Calcio Clean Sheet 24%
Aquila Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Marino Calcio | Aquila Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.09 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 11, 2026 Serie D - Group F
San Marino Calcio vs Aquila Calcio
1:3
Sep 14, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs San Marino Calcio
3:1
Apr 15, 2018 Serie D - Group F
San Marino Calcio vs Aquila Calcio
2:3
Nov 26, 2017 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs San Marino Calcio
1:1
Feb 14, 2015 Serie C - Group B
San Marino Calcio vs Aquila Calcio
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Marino Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer Sambou B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.55
Aquila Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer Brunetti A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Di Renzo L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.53
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Marino Calcio 10 / 100
Aquila Calcio 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Marino Calcio Aquila Calcio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aquila Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Attacking prowess: San Marino Calcio scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: San Marino Calcio remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Aquila Calcio let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
San Marino Calcio VS Aquila Calcio
1.43 Goals Scored 0.5
1.43 Goals Conceded 0.75
71% Over 1.5 38%
71% Over 2.5 13%
43% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
San Marino Calcio
(Home) 17 May
Recanatese
4 : 1 San Marino Calcio
03 May
San Marino Calcio
1 : 0 Sammaurese
26 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 San Marino Calcio
19 Apr
San Marino Calcio
1 : 3 Teramo
12 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 2 San Marino Calcio
Page 1 of 6
03 May
San Marino Calcio
1 : 0 Sammaurese
19 Apr
San Marino Calcio
1 : 3 Teramo
02 Apr
San Marino Calcio
3 : 0 Fossombrone
22 Mar
San Marino Calcio
1 : 4 Vigor Senigallia
01 Mar
San Marino Calcio
1 : 2 Giulianova
Page 1 of 3
Aquila Calcio
(Away) 27 Sept
Aquila Calcio
2 : 0 Teramo
20 Sept
Ancona
2 : 2 Aquila Calcio
16 Sept
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0 Atletico Ascoli
12 Sept
Fossombrone
0 : 4 Aquila Calcio
06 Sept
Aquila Calcio
1 : 0 Termoli
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Ancona
2 : 2 Aquila Calcio
12 Sept
Fossombrone
0 : 4 Aquila Calcio
01 Aug
Pineto
0 : 1 Aquila Calcio
03 May
Termoli
1 : 1 Aquila Calcio
19 Apr
Ostiamare
2 : 1 Aquila Calcio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ostiamare | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 65:25 | 79 |
| 2 | Ancona | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 59:22 | 76 |
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65:29 | 74 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 55:35 | 55 |
| 5 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 43:31 | 51 |
| 6 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:44 | 51 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40:31 | 49 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:40 | 49 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:34 | 44 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43:42 | 42 |
| 11 | Termoli | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 27:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Maceratese | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 43:49 | 38 |
| 13 | AS Sora | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:50 | 38 |
| 14 | Recanatese | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39:57 | 32 |
| 15 | San Marino Calcio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:61 | 31 |
| 16 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 31:55 | 24 |
| 17 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 30:65 | 23 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:69 | 20 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)
