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San Marino vs Albania - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League San Marino Stadium, Serravalle
San Marino Logo

San Marino

0 - 3
FT
Albania Logo

Albania

Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Mehmeti A.
Assist: Manaj R.
27' Event
Uzuni M.
34'
Asllani K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Albania in this UEFA Nations League matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Albania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
San Marino
15%
Draws
73%
Albania
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Albania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Albania have won more games recently than San Marino.
  • Albania are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Albania have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
San Marino Clean Sheet 10%
Albania Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Marino Albania
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 2 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 23 12
Goals Scored 0.54 1.11
Goals Conceded 2.93 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 UEFA Nations League
San Marino vs Albania
0:3
Sep 8, 2021 World Championship
Albania vs San Marino
5:0
Mar 31, 2021 World Championship
San Marino vs Albania
0:2
Mar 27, 2020 Friendly International
San Marino vs Albania
0:0
Jun 8, 2014 Friendly International
San Marino vs Albania
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Marino Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Albania Compare

Top Goalscorer Mehmeti A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Uzuni M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marino 10 / 100
Albania 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Marino Albania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Albania Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Albania conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Difficult form: Albania registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

San Marino's goal record stands at 46% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

San Marino VS Albania
0.5 Goals Scored 1
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Marino

(Home)
29 Sept
San Marino
0 : 3
Albania
26 Sept
San Marino
0 : 7
Finland
09 Jun
Azerbaijan
2 : 1
San Marino
05 Jun
San Marino
1 : 2
Bangladesh
31 Mar
San Marino
0 : 0
Andorra
Page 1 of 6

Albania

(Away)
29 Sept
San Marino
0 : 3
Albania
26 Sept
Albania
2 : 0
Belarus
06 Jun
Albania
0 : 1
Luxembourg
03 Jun
Albania
0 : 1
Israel
31 Mar
Ukraine
1 : 0
Albania
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albania 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
2 Belarus 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
3 Finland 4 2 1 1 9:2 7
4 San Marino 4 0 0 4 1:16 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montenegro 4 3 1 0 7:4 10
2 Cyprus 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Armenia 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
4 Latvia 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovakia 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
2 Faroe Islands 4 0 4 0 5:5 4
3 Moldova 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
4 Kazakhstan 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iceland 4 2 2 0 7:1 8
2 Estonia 4 1 3 0 2:1 6
3 Bulgaria 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 Luxembourg 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)