Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 San Marino Stadium, Serravalle

San Marino

0 - 4

Austria

Our Tip

Match Events

Arnautovic M.

Assist: Posch S.

11'

Gregoritsch M.

Assist: Laimer K.

15'

Arnautovic M.

Assist: Sabitzer M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Austria in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Austria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%

San Marino

20%

Draws

70%

Austria

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Austria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

10% / Low Confidence

San Marino haven't matched Austria's recent run of results.
Win probability leans San Marino's way, sitting at 40%.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Austria here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

San Marino Clean Sheet 12%

Austria Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	San Marino	Austria
Matches Played	28	26
Wins	2	15
Draws	3	5
Losses	23	6
Goals Scored	0.61	2.19
Goals Conceded	2.75	1.04
Expected Goals (xG)	0.60	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2025 World Championship

Austria vs San Marino

10:0

Jun 10, 2025 World Championship

San Marino vs Austria

0:4

Apr 27, 1999 Euro

Austria vs San Marino

7:0

Oct 13, 1998 Euro

San Marino vs Austria

1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Marino Compare

Avg xG / game 0.46

Avg xA / game 0.3

Austria Compare

Top Goalscorer Arnautovic M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Gregoritsch M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marino 38 / 100

Austria 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

San Marino Austria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Marino Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.50 goals as a typical output.

Austria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 26 matches.

Attacking prowess: San Marino scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.

San Marino went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Marino VS Austria

0.57 Goals Scored 1.63

1.86 Goals Conceded 0.63

57% Over 1.5 63%

57% Over 2.5 25%

14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Marino

(Home)

09 Jun

Azerbaijan

2 : 1

San Marino

05 Jun

San Marino

1 : 2

Bangladesh

31 Mar

San Marino

0 : 0

Andorra

28 Mar

San Marino

1 : 2

Faroe Islands

18 Nov

Romania

7 : 1

San Marino

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Austria

(Away)

02 Jul

Spain

3 : 0

Austria

28 Jun

Algeria

3 : 3

Austria

22 Jun

Argentina

2 : 0

Austria

17 Jun

Austria

3 : 1

Jordan

01 Jun

Austria

1 : 0

Tunisia

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