Sport Picks

World

Friendly International San Marino Stadium

Bangladesh

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

San Marino play Bangladesh in the Friendly International. Bangladesh are favorites here. Recently, San Marino averaged 0.57 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. Bangladesh averaged 0.71 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, San Marino won 0, Bangladesh won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 5, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for San Marino and 2.75 for Bangladesh. This points to a Bangladesh double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%

San Marino

21%

Draws

62%

Bangladesh

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Bangladesh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

San Marino picked up more points recently compared to Bangladesh.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 2.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

San Marino Clean Sheet 10%

Bangladesh Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	San Marino	Bangladesh
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	2	6
Draws	3	9
Losses	25	13
Goals Scored	0.57	0.71
Goals Conceded	2.8	1.57
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	4.63	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Friendly International

San Marino vs Bangladesh

Possession: 42% - 60% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Marino Compare

Top Goalscorer Giacopetti N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Bangladesh Compare

Top Goalscorer Barman T.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marino 17 / 100

Bangladesh 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

San Marino Bangladesh

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bangladesh Win (2)

Secondary Pick Bangladesh & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +88.9%

11.11

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Marino attacking → ← attacking Bangladesh

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Marino scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Bangladesh let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

San Marino went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Bangladesh lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 27

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

4.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25