Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Marino vs Gibraltar

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 San Marino Stadium, Serravalle
San Marino Logo

San Marino

1 - 1
FT
Gibraltar Logo

Gibraltar

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Walker L.
(Penalty)
20'
Valli Casadei M.
39'
Pozo N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 game between San Marino and Gibraltar finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
San Marino
15%
Draws
73%
Gibraltar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gibraltar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gibraltar come out ahead of San Marino on wins alone.
  • Gibraltar are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
San Marino Clean Sheet 10%
Gibraltar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Marino Gibraltar
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 2 4
Draws 3 5
Losses 25 19
Goals Scored 0.57 0.61
Goals Conceded 2.8 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2024 UEFA Nations League
San Marino vs Gibraltar
1:1
Oct 10, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Gibraltar vs San Marino
1:0
Nov 14, 2020 UEFA Nations League
San Marino vs Gibraltar
0:0
Sep 5, 2020 UEFA Nations League
Gibraltar vs San Marino
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marino 14 / 100
Gibraltar 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Marino Gibraltar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gibraltar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gibraltar has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Gibraltar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

San Marino scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

San Marino VS Gibraltar
0.38 Goals Scored 0.13
4.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Marino

(Home)
09 Jun
Azerbaijan
2 : 1
San Marino
05 Jun
San Marino
1 : 2
Bangladesh
31 Mar
San Marino
0 : 0
Andorra
28 Mar
San Marino
1 : 2
Faroe Islands
18 Nov
Romania
7 : 1
San Marino
Page 1 of 6

Gibraltar

(Away)
06 Jun
Gibraltar
4 : 1
Cayman Islands
03 Jun
Gibraltar
4 : 0
British Virgin Islands
31 Mar
Latvia
1 : 0
Gibraltar
26 Mar
Gibraltar
0 : 1
Latvia
17 Nov
Czech Republic
6 : 0
Gibraltar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Marino 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
2 Gibraltar 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
3 Liechtenstein 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moldova 4 3 0 1 5:1 9
2 Malta 4 2 1 1 2:2 7
3 Andorra 4 0 1 3 0:4 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)