Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 3 2012/2013

Guarnizo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

San Martin Arena play Guarnizo in the Tercera Division - Group 3 2012/2013. Guarnizo are favorites here. Recently, San Martin Arena averaged 0.5 goals scored and 2.47 conceded. Guarnizo averaged 1.41 goals scored and 0.67 conceded. In past meetings, San Martin Arena won 0, Guarnizo won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 24, 2013 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for San Martin Arena and 1.24 for Guarnizo. This points to a Guarnizo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

San Martin Arena

31%

Draws

60%

Guarnizo

Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Guarnizo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence

San Martin Arena picked up more points recently compared to Guarnizo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.24 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%

San Martin Arena Clean Sheet 19%

Guarnizo Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 61%

Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	San Martin Arena	Guarnizo
Matches Played	30	39
Wins	1	23
Draws	5	11
Losses	24	5
Goals Scored	0.5	1.41
Goals Conceded	2.47	0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Guarnizo vs San Martin Arena

Possession: 45% - 55% Cards: 2 - 1

3:0

Oct 7, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

San Martin Arena vs Guarnizo

Possession: 44% - 58% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Feb 5, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

San Martin Arena vs Guarnizo

Possession: 46% - 59% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Sep 15, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Guarnizo vs San Martin Arena

Possession: 54% - 59% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin Arena 12 / 100

Guarnizo 57 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

San Martin Arena Guarnizo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarnizo Win (2)

Secondary Pick Guarnizo & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +800%

100.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Martin Arena attacking → ← attacking Guarnizo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Martin Arena scored in 37% of their last 30 games.

Guarnizo let in goals in 44% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

San Martin Arena went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Guarnizo lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

8 Points in last 5 80

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CD Tropezon	38	25	8	5	87:32	83
2	Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)	38	25	8	5	76:27	83
3	Cayon CD	38	20	13	5	50:22	73
4	CD Laredo	38	18	14	6	54:30	68
5	Castro	38	20	8	10	52:33	68
6	Vimenor	38	17	10	11	53:43	61
7	Barreda Balompie	38	17	9	12	50:44	60
8	Santona	38	16	10	12	53:51	58
9	CD Siete Villas	38	15	8	15	48:49	53
10	Guarnizo	38	13	13	12	45:41	52
11	UM Escobedo	38	14	9	15	67:54	51
12	Gama	38	15	5	18	35:42	50
13	Bezana	38	11	14	13	42:47	47
14	Atletico Albericia	38	12	11	15	50:51	47
15	Pontejos	38	13	8	17	45:55	47
16	Ribamontan al Mar	38	11	12	15	42:51	45
17	Deportiva Santillana	38	9	9	20	43:65	36
18	Textil Escudo	38	8	6	24	35:69	30
19	Escuela Meruelo	38	5	7	26	33:85	22
20	San Martin Arena	38	2	6	30	16:85	12