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San Martin Burzaco vs Laferrere - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Francisco Boga Stadium, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Velazquez R.
42'
Zagert E.
45' Event
Zagert E.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between San Martin Burzaco and Laferrere finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Martin Burzaco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
San Martin Burzaco
20%
Draws
29%
Laferrere
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Martin Burzaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Laferrere come out ahead of San Martin Burzaco on wins alone.
  • San Martin Burzaco are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
San Martin Burzaco Clean Sheet 68%
Laferrere Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Martin Burzaco Laferrere
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 10
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.9 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Primera B
San Martin Burzaco vs Laferrere
2:1
May 9, 2026 Primera B
Laferrere vs San Martin Burzaco
0:2
Jul 27, 2025 Primera B
Laferrere vs San Martin Burzaco
2:1
Mar 9, 2025 Primera B
San Martin Burzaco vs Laferrere
1:1
Sep 7, 2024 Primera B
San Martin Burzaco vs Laferrere
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Martin Burzaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Velazquez R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zagert E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Laferrere Compare

Top Goalscorer Vega D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin Burzaco 50 / 100
Laferrere 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Martin Burzaco Laferrere

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Martin Burzaco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Laferrere's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: San Martin Burzaco remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

San Martin Burzaco found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

San Martin Burzaco VS Laferrere
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Martin Burzaco

(Home)
10 Oct
Arsenal Sarandi
3 : 1
San Martin Burzaco
03 Oct
San Martin Burzaco
2 : 1
Argentino de Merlo
26 Sept
Talleres Remedios Escalada
3 : 2
San Martin Burzaco
19 Sept
San Martin Burzaco
2 : 1
Laferrere
12 Sept
Brown Adrogue
0 : 2
San Martin Burzaco
Page 1 of 6

Laferrere

(Away)
10 Oct
Laferrere
1 : 1
Dep. Merlo
03 Oct
Deportivo Camioneros
1 : 2
Laferrere
26 Sept
Laferrere
1 : 2
Sportivo Italiano
19 Sept
San Martin Burzaco
2 : 1
Laferrere
12 Sept
Laferrere
1 : 1
Villa San Carlos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 39 23 8 8 63:30 77
2 Arsenal Sarandi 39 20 12 7 53:26 72
3 Talleres Remedios Escalada 39 19 11 9 41:24 68
4 Sportivo Italiano 38 18 11 9 45:28 65
5 Villa Dalmine 39 17 14 8 39:24 65
6 Deportivo Camioneros 39 17 13 9 44:30 64
7 Deportivo Armenio 39 17 10 12 42:38 61
8 Real Pilar 38 17 10 11 42:38 61
9 Comunicaciones 39 14 14 11 39:34 56
10 Laferrere 39 13 13 13 47:51 52
11 San Martin Burzaco 39 12 14 13 40:44 50
12 Dock Sud 38 11 14 13 40:42 47
13 Villa San Carlos 39 11 14 14 37:43 47
14 Dep. Merlo 39 10 15 14 37:52 45
15 Argentino de Merlo 38 11 11 16 33:39 44
16 Argentino de Quilmes 39 9 17 13 32:39 44
17 CSD Liniers 39 10 14 15 32:40 44
18 Flandria 39 11 9 19 35:48 42
19 Defensores Unidos 39 9 14 16 33:40 41
20 Brown Adrogue 38 8 15 15 24:37 39
21 UAI Urquiza 38 5 20 13 21:35 35
22 Ituzaingo 39 1 13 25 27:64 16
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)