Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Martin Burzaco vs Villa San Carlos

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Francisco Boga Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Denis K.
33'
Plastino M.
63'
Sub
Plastino M. In: Salinas R.
Out: Plastino M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
San Martin Burzaco
39%
Draws
31%
Villa San Carlos
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • San Martin Burzaco have won more games recently than Villa San Carlos.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
San Martin Burzaco Clean Sheet 68%
Villa San Carlos Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Martin Burzaco Villa San Carlos
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 12 12
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 0.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Primera B
Villa San Carlos vs San Martin Burzaco
0:0
Feb 27, 2026 Primera B
San Martin Burzaco vs Villa San Carlos
3:3
Nov 1, 2025 Primera B
San Martin Burzaco vs Villa San Carlos
1:1
Jun 7, 2025 Primera B
Villa San Carlos vs San Martin Burzaco
2:1
Jul 6, 2024 Primera B
Villa San Carlos vs San Martin Burzaco
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Martin Burzaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Gauna N. A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Villa San Carlos Compare

Top Goalscorer Lugones A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Melillo E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin Burzaco 41 / 100
Villa San Carlos 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Martin Burzaco Villa San Carlos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villa San Carlos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: San Martin Burzaco scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

San Martin Burzaco went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Martin Burzaco VS Villa San Carlos
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal Sarandi26148437:1950
2Excursionistas26147537:1749
3Talleres Remedios Escalada26147529:1349
4Villa Dalmine26139430:1448
5Deportivo Camioneros26138531:1747
6Sportivo Italiano26128627:2144
7Comunicaciones26108830:2638
8Laferrere26108829:3038
9Real Pilar26107929:2937
10Deportivo Armenio26107930:3137
11Dep. Merlo2699831:3836
12San Martin Burzaco26811726:2335
13Argentino de Merlo2698926:2435
14Dock Sud26710926:2431
15Argentino de Quilmes26710925:2831
16CSD Liniers26691117:2627
17Flandria26751420:3226
18Defensores Unidos265101120:2925
19UAI Urquiza26315812:2224
20Brown Adrogue26591216:2924
21Villa San Carlos264101224:3322
22Ituzaingo26171818:4510