Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Martin Formosa vs Boca Unidos

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal 17 De Octubre
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Piris O.
2'
Schweizer A.
25' Event
Ceratto L.

AI Match Summary

San Martin Formosa host Boca Unidos in the Torneo Federal. This one's hard to separate. San Martin Formosa have averaged 2.38 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Boca Unidos's 0.88 scored and 1.25 conceded. Head-to-head, San Martin Formosa have won 2 to Boca Unidos's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 14, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.19, favoring San Martin Formosa. San Martin Formosa in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
San Martin Formosa
33%
Draws
27%
Boca Unidos
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: San Martin Formosa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • San Martin Formosa has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Boca Unidos.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for San Martin Formosa.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Torneo Federal provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
San Martin Formosa Clean Sheet 68%
Boca Unidos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Martin Formosa Boca Unidos
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Torneo Federal
Boca Unidos vs San Martin Formosa
3:1
Apr 12, 2026 Torneo Federal
San Martin Formosa vs Boca Unidos
1:1
May 24, 2025 Torneo Federal
San Martin Formosa vs Boca Unidos
3:0
Mar 23, 2025 Torneo Federal
Boca Unidos vs San Martin Formosa
0:3
Jul 14, 2024 Torneo Federal
San Martin Formosa vs Boca Unidos
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Martin Formosa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ceratto L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Boca Unidos Compare

Top Goalscorer Ojeda M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin Formosa 50 / 100
Boca Unidos 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Martin Formosa Boca Unidos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Martin Formosa scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Boca Unidos let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

San Martin Formosa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Boca Unidos lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Martin Formosa VS Boca Unidos
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sportivo Belgrano1677219:728
2Douglas Haig1684419:1228
3Gimnasia Chivilcoy1674515:1025
49 de Julio Rafaela1674526:2325
5Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo1665520:1723
6Sportivo Las Parejas1657411:1222
7Independiente Chivilcoy1646613:1918
8Atletico Escobar1653817:2618
9Gimnasia E.R.1644812:1716
10El Linqueno1634911:2013
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Martin Formosa1483324:1727
2Bartolome Mitre1465312:623
3Sol de America1472515:1023
4Sarmiento de La Banda1463514:1421
5Juventud Antoniana1454513:1019
6Defensores de Vilelas1561821:2519
7Boca Unidos1453617:1918
8Tucuman Central1451812:1516
9Sarmiento Resistencia1526710:2212
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cipolletti1564518:1522
2Argentino MM1456315:1121
3Biblioteca Atenas1463512:1321
4Fundacion Amigos1447317:1419
5Huracan Las Heras1454510:1319
6Costa Brava1546512:1218
7San Martin Mendoza1445510:1417
8Juventud U.U.1437410:916
9Deportivo Rincon1444612:1516
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Alvarado1575319:726
2Kimberley1567214:825
3Olimpo Bahia Blanca1467110:425
4Villa Mitre144738:519
5Germinal144647:1118
6Sol de Mayo1445511:1217
7Guillermo Brown1435611:1714
8Santamarina142669:1512
9Circulo Deportivo141674:149