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San Martin Formosa vs Sol de America - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal 17 De Octubre, Formosa
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Rojas F.
Own Goal
38'
Mendoza M.
55'
Cabanas J.

AI Match Summary

San Martin Formosa in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Martin Formosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
San Martin Formosa
30%
Draws
33%
Sol de America
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Martin Formosa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • San Martin Formosa average 1.41 goals a game right now, well clear of Sol de America's 1.21.
  • San Martin Formosa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • San Martin Formosa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
San Martin Formosa Clean Sheet 68%
Sol de America Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Martin Formosa Sol de America
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.41 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.97 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Torneo Federal
San Martin Formosa vs Sol de America
2:1
Jun 28, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sol de America vs San Martin Formosa
1:2
Apr 26, 2026 Torneo Federal
San Martin Formosa vs Sol de America
1:0
Jun 22, 2025 Torneo Federal
San Martin Formosa vs Sol de America
4:1
Apr 20, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sol de America vs San Martin Formosa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Martin Formosa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sol de America Compare

Top Goalscorer Rojas F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin Formosa 95 / 100
Sol de America 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Martin Formosa Sol de America

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Martin Formosa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Martin Formosa scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

San Martin Formosa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sol de America let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

San Martin Formosa VS Sol de America
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

San Martin Formosa

(Home)
04 Oct
San Martin Formosa
1 : 1
Biblioteca Atenas
27 Sept
Biblioteca Atenas
0 : 1
San Martin Formosa
20 Sept
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 0
San Martin Formosa
13 Sept
San Martin Formosa
3 : 0
Sarmiento de La Banda
06 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
1 : 0
San Martin Formosa
Page 1 of 6

Sol de America

(Away)
04 Oct
Cipolletti
6 : 1
Sol de America
27 Sept
Sol de America
1 : 0
Cipolletti
20 Sept
Sol de America
1 : 1
9 de Julio Rafaela
11 Sept
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2 : 0
Sol de America
06 Sept
Sol de America
2 : 0
Sportivo Belgrano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Martin Formosa 8 5 2 1 14:5 17
2 Gimnasia Chivilcoy 8 4 3 1 6:2 15
3 Sol de America 8 4 2 2 9:7 14
4 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 8 4 1 3 6:3 13
5 Douglas Haig 8 3 3 2 12:7 12
6 9 de Julio Rafaela 8 3 3 2 9:6 12
7 Bartolome Mitre 8 1 2 5 3:10 5
8 Sarmiento de La Banda 8 1 2 5 6:14 5
9 Sportivo Belgrano 8 1 2 5 3:14 5
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alvarado 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
2 Cipolletti 8 4 3 1 10:7 15
3 Olimpo Bahia Blanca 8 3 4 1 7:4 13
4 Biblioteca Atenas 8 4 1 3 12:10 13
5 Kimberley 8 3 2 3 8:6 11
6 Argentino MM 8 3 2 3 7:7 11
7 Villa Mitre 8 2 4 2 5:4 10
8 Huracan Las Heras 8 2 1 5 3:8 7
9 Juventud Antoniana 8 0 2 6 1:12 2
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)