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San Martin Mendoza vs Sportivo Estudiantes Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal 2025 Estadio General Jose de San Martin, San Martin
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Sosa E.
44'
Abrahin M.
46'
Sub
Castro I. In: Makarte R.
Out: Castro I.

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal 2025 game between San Martin Mendoza and Sportivo Estudiantes finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sportivo Estudiantes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
San Martin Mendoza
35%
Draws
37%
Sportivo Estudiantes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sportivo Estudiantes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • San Martin Mendoza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on San Martin Mendoza taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
San Martin Mendoza Clean Sheet 20%
Sportivo Estudiantes Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Martin Mendoza Sportivo Estudiantes
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 13 10
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 0.82 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.82 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sportivo Estudiantes vs San Martin Mendoza
1:2
Jul 13, 2025 Torneo Federal
Sportivo Estudiantes vs San Martin Mendoza
0:1
May 10, 2025 Torneo Federal
San Martin Mendoza vs Sportivo Estudiantes
0:1
Sep 8, 2024 Torneo Federal
San Martin Mendoza vs Sportivo Estudiantes
1:1
Jun 23, 2024 Torneo Federal
Sportivo Estudiantes vs San Martin Mendoza
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Martin Mendoza Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Sportivo Estudiantes Compare

Top Goalscorer Sosa E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin Mendoza 42 / 100
Sportivo Estudiantes 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Martin Mendoza Sportivo Estudiantes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: San Martin Mendoza scored in 61% of their last 33 outings.

Sportivo Estudiantes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: San Martin Mendoza stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Martin Mendoza VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

San Martin Mendoza

(Home)
20 Sept
Juventud U.U.
0 : 0
San Martin Mendoza
13 Sept
San Martin Mendoza
2 : 0
Circulo Deportivo
06 Sept
Guillermo Brown
1 : 1
San Martin Mendoza
29 Aug
San Martin Mendoza
0 : 2
Fundacion Amigos
23 Aug
Germinal
0 : 0
San Martin Mendoza
Page 1 of 7

Sportivo Estudiantes

(Away)
14 Sept
Santamarina
1 : 1
Sportivo Estudiantes
07 Sept
Sportivo Estudiantes
2 : 0
Germinal
30 Aug
Sol de Mayo
2 : 1
Sportivo Estudiantes
23 Aug
Sportivo Estudiantes
2 : 1
Gutierrez Mendoza
17 Aug
Juventud U.U.
0 : 0
Sportivo Estudiantes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cipolletti 18 13 1 4 31:13 40
2 Villa Mitre 18 10 5 3 22:9 35
3 Olimpo Bahia Blanca 18 7 5 6 19:15 26
4 Deportivo Rincon 18 8 2 8 22:20 26
5 Kimberley 18 7 5 6 17:13 26
6 Circulo Deportivo 18 7 2 9 17:21 23
7 Guillermo Brown 18 6 3 9 19:29 21
8 Santamarina 18 4 8 6 18:22 20
9 Sol de Mayo 18 4 5 9 16:27 17
10 Germinal 18 4 4 10 16:28 16
Promotion - Torneo Federal 2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal 2025 (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal 2025 (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal 2025 (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal 2025 (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Bolivar 16 9 4 3 24:9 31
2 Costa Brava 16 8 6 2 17:7 30
3 Biblioteca Atenas 16 8 1 7 17:14 25
4 Argentino MM 16 6 5 5 15:16 23
5 San Martin Mendoza 16 6 3 7 19:19 21
6 Huracan Las Heras 16 6 3 7 15:20 21
7 Juventud U.U. 16 4 8 4 14:13 20
8 Sportivo Estudiantes 16 4 6 6 13:14 18
9 Gutierrez Mendoza 16 2 2 12 12:34 8
Promotion - Torneo Federal 2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal 2025 (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal 2025 (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal 2025 (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal 2025 (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy 18 7 9 2 17:14 30
2 Douglas Haig 18 7 8 3 18:12 29
3 Sportivo Belgrano 18 7 6 5 19:12 27
4 Independiente Chivilcoy 18 6 8 4 16:13 26
5 9 de Julio Rafaela 18 7 4 7 20:20 25
6 Sportivo Las Parejas 18 5 7 6 20:19 22
7 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 18 4 8 6 9:14 20
8 Gimnasia E.R. 18 5 5 8 14:20 20
9 El Linqueno 18 4 7 7 16:20 19
10 Ben Hur 18 4 6 8 15:20 18
Promotion - Torneo Federal 2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal 2025 (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal 2025 (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal 2025 (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal 2025 (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sarmiento de La Banda 16 10 2 4 21:11 32
2 San Martin Formosa 16 8 7 1 29:9 31
3 Atl. Rafaela 16 7 5 4 19:15 26
4 Juventud Antoniana 16 6 5 5 19:15 23
5 Bartolome Mitre 16 5 6 5 15:14 21
6 Sol de America 16 5 5 6 21:19 20
7 Sarmiento Resistencia 16 4 6 6 12:22 18
8 Boca Unidos 16 2 6 8 16:27 12
9 Crucero del Norte 16 2 4 10 10:30 10
Promotion - Torneo Federal 2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal 2025 (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal 2025 (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal 2025 (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal 2025 (Losers stage)