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San Martin S.J. 2 vs Atl. Rafaela 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Reserve League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
San Martin S.J. 2
20%
Draws
70%
Atl. Rafaela 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atl. Rafaela 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atl. Rafaela 2 lately — more wins on the board than San Martin S.J. 2.
  • Model gives Atl. Rafaela 2 a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
San Martin S.J. 2 Clean Sheet 19%
Atl. Rafaela 2 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Martin S.J. 2 Atl. Rafaela 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.83 1.21
Goals Conceded 2.69 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 Reserve League
San Martin S.J. 2 vs Atl. Rafaela 2
0:0
Feb 11, 2026 Reserve League
Atl. Rafaela 2 vs San Martin S.J. 2
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin S.J. 2 20 / 100
Atl. Rafaela 2 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Martin S.J. 2 Atl. Rafaela 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atl. Rafaela 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Rafaela 2 let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

San Martin S.J. 2 found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

San Martin S.J. 2 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Martin S.J. 2 VS Atl. Rafaela 2
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Martin S.J. 2

(Home)
08 Oct
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2
3 : 2
San Martin S.J. 2
01 Oct
San Martin S.J. 2
0 : 2
Lanus 2
25 Sept
San Martin S.J. 2
0 : 1
Godoy Cruz 2
17 Sept
Newells Old Boys 2
4 : 0
San Martin S.J. 2
09 Sept
San Martin S.J. 2
1 : 1
Defensa y Justicia 2
Page 1 of 6

Atl. Rafaela 2

(Away)
06 Oct
Huracan 2
1 : 0
Atl. Rafaela 2
29 Sept
Atl. Rafaela 2
3 : 2
Ferro 2
23 Sept
Sarmiento Junin 2
3 : 1
Atl. Rafaela 2
17 Sept
Boca Juniors 2
0 : 0
Atl. Rafaela 2
08 Sept
Atl. Rafaela 2
2 : 1
Independiente 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 2 12 5 7 0 20:10 22
2 Velez Sarsfield 2 12 5 5 2 12:4 20
3 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 12 6 2 4 14:12 20
4 Rosario Central 2 12 5 5 2 17:16 20
5 Gimnasia L.P. 2 12 4 5 3 13:8 17
6 Sarmiento Junin 2 12 4 5 3 11:8 17
7 Godoy Cruz 2 12 4 5 3 14:12 17
8 San Lorenzo 2 12 5 2 5 13:11 17
9 Talleres Cordoba 2 12 4 5 3 12:11 17
10 Union de Santa Fe 2 12 3 7 2 17:10 16
11 Instituto 2 12 3 6 3 15:16 15
12 Atl. Tucuman 2 12 4 3 5 9:13 15
13 Tigre 2 12 4 2 6 15:20 14
14 Racing Club 2 12 2 7 3 19:20 13
15 Aldosivi 2 12 2 5 5 10:14 11
16 Argentinos Jrs 2 12 2 5 5 7:12 11
17 Banfield 2 12 2 3 7 10:22 9
18 Barracas Central 2 12 1 5 6 8:19 8
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente 2 12 8 3 1 25:9 27
2 Lanus 2 12 8 2 2 23:13 26
3 Deportivo Riestra 2 12 7 2 3 22:11 23
4 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 12 6 5 1 13:7 23
5 Boca Juniors 2 12 6 4 2 16:8 22
6 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 12 6 4 2 19:17 22
7 Estudiantes L.P. 2 12 6 3 3 19:11 21
8 Atl. Rafaela 2 12 5 4 3 14:14 19
9 Huracan 2 12 5 2 5 14:10 17
10 Quilmes 2 12 4 4 4 10:10 16
11 Newells Old Boys 2 12 3 5 4 14:12 14
12 Defensa y Justicia 2 12 2 6 4 18:19 12
13 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 12 3 3 6 10:19 12
14 San Martin S.J. 2 12 2 4 6 9:21 10
15 Ind. Rivadavia 2 12 2 3 7 13:23 9
16 Colon Santa Fe 2 12 2 2 8 8:17 8
17 Platense 2 12 0 7 5 6:15 7
18 Ferro 2 12 1 3 8 9:24 6
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)