Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Martin S.J. 2 vs Atl. Rafaela 2

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Thu, Jul 23, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Martin S.J. 2 host Atl. Rafaela 2 in the Reserve League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. San Martin S.J. 2 have averaged 0.88 scored and 3.25 conceded recently, against Atl. Rafaela 2's 1 scored and 2.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Atl. Rafaela 2 slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 11, 2026, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 2.13, favoring Atl. Rafaela 2. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
San Martin S.J. 2
40%
Draws
29%
Atl. Rafaela 2
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to San Martin S.J. 2 lately — more wins on the board than Atl. Rafaela 2.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
San Martin S.J. 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Atl. Rafaela 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Martin S.J. 2 Atl. Rafaela 2
Matches Played 28 18
Wins 4 3
Draws 4 3
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 3.25 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Reserve League
Atl. Rafaela 2 vs San Martin S.J. 2
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin S.J. 2 30 / 100
Atl. Rafaela 2 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Martin S.J. 2 Atl. Rafaela 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Rafaela 2 let in goals in 83% of their last 18 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

San Martin S.J. 2 found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Atl. Rafaela 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Martin S.J. 2 VS Atl. Rafaela 2
0.88 Goals Scored 1
3.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Tucuman 211002:13
2Sarmiento Junin 211001:03
3San Lorenzo 210100:01
4Gimnasia L.P. 210100:01
5Rosario Central 210100:01
6Union de Santa Fe 210100:01
7Argentinos Jrs 200000:00
8Velez Sarsfield 200000:00
9Tigre 200000:00
10Godoy Cruz 200000:00
11River Plate 200000:00
12Racing Club 200000:00
13Banfield 200000:00
14Barracas Central 200000:00
15Talleres Cordoba 200000:00
16Instituto 200000:00
17Aldosivi 210011:20
18Gimnasia Mendoza 210010:10
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P. 211002:03
2Ferro 211002:13
3Quilmes 211001:03
4Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 211001:03
5Atl. Rafaela 200000:00
6Newells Old Boys 200000:00
7CA Belgrano de Cordoba 200000:00
8Boca Juniors 200000:00
9Independiente 200000:00
10San Martin S.J. 200000:00
11Platense 200000:00
12Deportivo Riestra 200000:00
13Huracan 200000:00
14Ind. Rivadavia 200000:00
15Lanus 210011:20
16Defensa y Justicia 210010:10
17Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 210010:10
18Colon Santa Fe 210010:20