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San Martin S.J. 2 vs Lanus 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Balbuena T. Y.
82' Event
Balbuena T. Y.

AI Match Summary

Lanus 2 in this Reserve League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lanus 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
San Martin S.J. 2
20%
Draws
73%
Lanus 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lanus 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lanus 2 lately — more wins on the board than San Martin S.J. 2.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Lanus 2 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lanus 2 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
San Martin S.J. 2 Clean Sheet 15%
Lanus 2 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Martin S.J. 2 Lanus 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 18
Draws 6 3
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 0.83 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.69 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2026 Reserve League
San Martin S.J. 2 vs Lanus 2
0:2
Apr 29, 2026 Reserve League
Lanus 2 vs San Martin S.J. 2
6:1
Oct 22, 2025 Reserve League
San Martin S.J. 2 vs Lanus 2
0:1
May 22, 2025 Reserve League
Lanus 2 vs San Martin S.J. 2
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Martin S.J. 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Lanus 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Balbuena T. Y.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin S.J. 2 10 / 100
Lanus 2 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Martin S.J. 2 Lanus 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lanus 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Lanus 2 has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

San Martin S.J. 2 found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: San Martin S.J. 2 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

San Martin S.J. 2 VS Lanus 2
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

San Martin S.J. 2

(Home)
08 Oct
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2
3 : 2
San Martin S.J. 2
01 Oct
San Martin S.J. 2
0 : 2
Lanus 2
25 Sept
San Martin S.J. 2
0 : 1
Godoy Cruz 2
17 Sept
Newells Old Boys 2
4 : 0
San Martin S.J. 2
09 Sept
San Martin S.J. 2
1 : 1
Defensa y Justicia 2
Page 1 of 6

Lanus 2

(Away)
08 Oct
Lanus 2
3 : 0
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2
01 Oct
San Martin S.J. 2
0 : 2
Lanus 2
23 Sept
Lanus 2
2 : 1
Banfield 2
16 Sept
Lanus 2
3 : 3
Ind. Rivadavia 2
10 Sept
Deportivo Riestra 2
4 : 1
Lanus 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 2 12 5 7 0 20:10 22
2 Velez Sarsfield 2 12 5 5 2 12:4 20
3 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 12 6 2 4 14:12 20
4 Rosario Central 2 12 5 5 2 17:16 20
5 Gimnasia L.P. 2 12 4 5 3 13:8 17
6 Sarmiento Junin 2 12 4 5 3 11:8 17
7 Godoy Cruz 2 12 4 5 3 14:12 17
8 San Lorenzo 2 12 5 2 5 13:11 17
9 Talleres Cordoba 2 12 4 5 3 12:11 17
10 Union de Santa Fe 2 12 3 7 2 17:10 16
11 Instituto 2 12 3 6 3 15:16 15
12 Atl. Tucuman 2 12 4 3 5 9:13 15
13 Tigre 2 12 4 2 6 15:20 14
14 Racing Club 2 12 2 7 3 19:20 13
15 Aldosivi 2 12 2 5 5 10:14 11
16 Argentinos Jrs 2 12 2 5 5 7:12 11
17 Banfield 2 12 2 3 7 10:22 9
18 Barracas Central 2 12 1 5 6 8:19 8
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente 2 12 8 3 1 25:9 27
2 Lanus 2 12 8 2 2 23:13 26
3 Deportivo Riestra 2 12 7 2 3 22:11 23
4 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 12 6 5 1 13:7 23
5 Boca Juniors 2 12 6 4 2 16:8 22
6 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 12 6 4 2 19:17 22
7 Estudiantes L.P. 2 12 6 3 3 19:11 21
8 Atl. Rafaela 2 12 5 4 3 14:14 19
9 Huracan 2 12 5 2 5 14:10 17
10 Quilmes 2 12 4 4 4 10:10 16
11 Newells Old Boys 2 12 3 5 4 14:12 14
12 Defensa y Justicia 2 12 2 6 4 18:19 12
13 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 12 3 3 6 10:19 12
14 San Martin S.J. 2 12 2 4 6 9:21 10
15 Ind. Rivadavia 2 12 2 3 7 13:23 9
16 Colon Santa Fe 2 12 2 2 8 8:17 8
17 Platense 2 12 0 7 5 6:15 7
18 Ferro 2 12 1 3 8 9:24 6
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)