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San Martin S.J. vs Almagro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Ingeniero Hilario Sánchez, San Juan
San Martin S.J. Logo

San Martin S.J.

1 - 2
FT
Almagro Logo

Almagro

Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Asis G.
44' Event
Funez N.
Penalty Missed
47' Event
Coronel F.
Assist: Monje L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between San Martin S.J. and Almagro finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Almagro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
San Martin S.J.
20%
Draws
40%
Almagro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and San Martin S.J. come out ahead of Almagro on wins alone.
  • Model gives San Martin S.J. a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
San Martin S.J. Clean Sheet 20%
Almagro Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Martin S.J. Almagro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.03 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Almagro
1:2
May 17, 2026 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs San Martin S.J.
1:2
Sep 20, 2023 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs San Martin S.J.
0:3
Apr 30, 2023 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Almagro
3:0
May 14, 2022 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs San Martin S.J.
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Martin S.J. Compare

Top Goalscorer Coronel F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Almagro Compare

Top Goalscorer De La Vega F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chamorro S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin S.J. 42 / 100
Almagro 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Martin S.J. Almagro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Martin S.J. found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Almagro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Difficult form: Almagro registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Martin S.J. VS Almagro
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Martin S.J.

(Home)
04 Oct
San Martin S.J.
1 : 2
Almagro
27 Sept
Patronato
3 : 0
San Martin S.J.
20 Sept
San Martin S.J.
2 : 0
Colegiales
16 Sept
San Martin S.J.
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
12 Sept
Quilmes
1 : 0
San Martin S.J.
Page 1 of 6

Almagro

(Away)
04 Oct
San Martin S.J.
1 : 2
Almagro
27 Sept
Almagro
0 : 1
Nueva Chicago
19 Sept
Temperley
3 : 1
Almagro
12 Sept
Almagro
2 : 2
Deportivo Maipu
06 Sept
Almagro
1 : 2
Gimnasia Jujuy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)