Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Martin S.J. vs Colegiales

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Ingeniero Hilario Sánchez, San Juan
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Malagueno F.
26'
Ramirez M.
38' Event
Alvarez D.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between San Martin S.J. and Colegiales finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Martin S.J..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
San Martin S.J.
15%
Draws
40%
Colegiales
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Martin S.J.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Colegiales haven't matched San Martin S.J.'s recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans San Martin S.J.'s way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
San Martin S.J. Clean Sheet 68%
Colegiales Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Martin S.J. Colegiales
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.1 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Colegiales
2:0
May 3, 2026 Primera Nacional
Colegiales vs San Martin S.J.
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Martin S.J. Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Colegiales Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin S.J. 50 / 100
Colegiales 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Martin S.J. Colegiales

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Martin S.J. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Martin S.J. found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

San Martin S.J. has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Colegiales's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

San Martin S.J. VS Colegiales
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Martin S.J.

(Home)
20 Sept
San Martin S.J.
2 : 0
Colegiales
16 Sept
San Martin S.J.
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
12 Sept
Quilmes
1 : 0
San Martin S.J.
06 Sept
San Martin S.J.
3 : 2
Midland
30 Aug
Atletico Atlanta
0 : 1
San Martin S.J.
Page 1 of 7

Colegiales

(Away)
20 Sept
San Martin S.J.
2 : 0
Colegiales
12 Sept
Colegiales
1 : 0
Nueva Chicago
06 Sept
Temperley
3 : 1
Colegiales
02 Sept
Colegiales
3 : 0
Midland
29 Aug
Colegiales
1 : 0
Deportivo Maipu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 31 18 7 6 36:25 61
2 Deportivo Moron 31 16 7 8 49:31 55
3 Godoy Cruz 31 15 8 8 40:28 53
4 Deportivo Madryn 31 13 11 7 44:28 50
5 Colon Santa Fe 31 13 10 8 38:25 49
6 Almirante Brown 31 12 10 9 23:18 46
7 CA Estudiantes 31 12 9 10 29:26 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 31 10 12 9 26:28 42
9 Los Andes 31 9 13 9 24:21 40
10 Chaco For Ever 31 9 9 13 28:31 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 31 8 12 11 23:27 36
12 Racing Cordoba 31 9 9 13 28:38 36
13 San Telmo 31 8 10 13 25:34 34
14 All Boys 31 6 15 10 17:26 33
15 Central Norte 31 6 14 11 19:28 32
16 CA Mitre 31 6 14 11 27:39 32
17 San Miguel 31 6 13 12 25:36 31
18 Acassuso 31 7 8 16 22:34 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 31 15 12 4 32:15 57
2 Gimnasia Jujuy 31 15 9 7 47:38 54
3 Temperley 31 14 11 6 36:25 53
4 Atletico Atlanta 31 16 4 11 35:28 52
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 31 13 9 9 32:27 48
6 Midland 31 13 8 10 34:26 47
7 San Martin S.J. 31 12 9 10 33:30 45
8 Deportivo Maipu 31 12 8 11 38:31 44
9 Colegiales 31 12 7 12 31:31 43
10 Atl. Rafaela 31 11 9 11 25:27 42
11 San Martin T. 31 9 13 9 34:32 40
12 Quilmes 31 10 8 13 30:27 38
13 Nueva Chicago 31 9 9 13 23:29 36
14 Agropecuario 31 9 9 13 26:35 36
15 Almagro 31 9 8 14 26:37 35
16 Patronato 31 6 16 9 27:31 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 31 8 6 17 23:33 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 31 5 8 18 23:53 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)