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San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy

Argentina Argentina

Copa Argentina 2025
Wed, Mar 26, 2025
1 - 0
08:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Anselmo F.
(Penalty)
1' Event
Dematei N.
Penalty Missed
2' Event
Iacobellis M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

San Martin S.J. host Gimnasia Jujuy in the Copa Argentina 2025. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: San Martin S.J. at 1.13 goals for, 1 against; Gimnasia Jujuy at 1.63 for, 1.38 against. Head-to-head, San Martin S.J. have won 3 to Gimnasia Jujuy's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 13, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.25 - 1.31) back Gimnasia Jujuy to edge this. Gimnasia Jujuy in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
San Martin S.J.
39%
Draws
30%
Gimnasia Jujuy
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Gimnasia Jujuy has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to San Martin S.J..
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • Cup tournament structure in Copa Argentina 2025 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
San Martin S.J. Clean Sheet 18%
Gimnasia Jujuy Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Martin S.J. Gimnasia Jujuy
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin S.J.
2:1
Mar 26, 2025 Copa Argentina
San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy
1:0
Jul 7, 2024 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin S.J.
1:0
Feb 18, 2024 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy
2:1
Mar 27, 2022 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin S.J. 32 / 100
Gimnasia Jujuy 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Martin S.J. Gimnasia Jujuy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GIM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Martin S.J. scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Gimnasia Jujuy let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

San Martin S.J. went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Gimnasia Jujuy lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Martin S.J. VS Gimnasia Jujuy
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
San Lorenzo1
Sportivo Las Parejas0
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)0
Quilmes1
Tigre3
Berazategui0
Banfield1
Villa Mitre0
Platense2
Argentino de Quilmes0
Ind. Rivadavia1
CA Estudiantes0
Sarmiento Junin0
Central Cordoba (Rosario)1
Gimnasia L.P.1
Deportivo Espanol0
Racing Club2
Santamarina0
San Martin S.J.1
Gimnasia Jujuy0
Deportivo Riestra3
San Telmo2
Talleres Cordoba3
Deportivo Armenio4
Rosario Central1
Los Andes0
Union de Santa Fe3
Colegiales1
San Martin T.1
Colon Santa Fe0
River Plate2
Ciudad Bolivar0
Boca Juniors5
Argentino MM0
Atl. Tucuman2
All Boys1
Defensa y Justicia3
Racing Cordoba1
Newells Old Boys1
Kimberley0
CA Belgrano de Cordoba3
Real Pilar1
Barracas Central0
Defensores de Belgrano2
Gimnasia Mendoza2
Nueva Chicago0
Independiente2
Sportivo Belgrano0
Estudiantes L.P.2
Sarmiento de La Banda1
Aldosivi2
Gimnasia y Tiro1
Godoy Cruz0
Excursionistas1
Argentinos Jrs3
Central Norte0
Lanus4
General Lamadrid0
Velez Sarsfield1
Midland0
Instituto3
Deportivo Madryn0
Huracan2
San Martin Formosa1
1/16-finals
San Lorenzo1
Quilmes0
Tigre2
Banfield0
Platense2
Ind. Rivadavia3
Central Cordoba (Rosario)2
Gimnasia L.P.1
Racing Club3
San Martin S.J.1
Deportivo Riestra3
Deportivo Armenio2
Rosario Central0
Union de Santa Fe1
San Martin T.0
River Plate3
Boca Juniors1
Atl. Tucuman2
Defensa y Justicia0
Newells Old Boys2
CA Belgrano de Cordoba3
Defensores de Belgrano2
Gimnasia Mendoza1
Independiente2
Estudiantes L.P.1
Aldosivi2
Excursionistas0
Argentinos Jrs3
Lanus2
Velez Sarsfield0
Instituto0
Huracan1
1/8-finals
San Lorenzo0
Tigre1
Ind. Rivadavia2
Central Cordoba (Rosario)1
Racing Club3
Deportivo Riestra0
Union de Santa Fe0
River Plate1
Atl. Tucuman2
Newells Old Boys3
CA Belgrano de Cordoba2
Independiente0
Aldosivi1
Argentinos Jrs2
Lanus2
Huracan0
Quarter-finals
Tigre1
Ind. Rivadavia3
Racing Club0
River Plate1
Newells Old Boys1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba3
Argentinos Jrs1
Lanus0
Semi-finals
Ind. Rivadavia1
River Plate0
CA Belgrano de Cordoba1
Argentinos Jrs2
Final
Ind. Rivadavia3
Argentinos Jrs2