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San Martin S.J. vs Midland Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Ingeniero Hilario Sánchez, San Juan
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Gonzalez S.
Assist: Murillo F.
32'
Sub
Murillo F. In: Rumbolo R.
Out: Murillo F.
46'
Sub
Muia T. In: Andrada I.
Out: Muia T.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between San Martin S.J. and Midland finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Martin S.J..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
San Martin S.J.
15%
Draws
39%
Midland
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Martin S.J.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Midland come out ahead of San Martin S.J. on wins alone.
  • San Martin S.J. are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
San Martin S.J. Clean Sheet 68%
Midland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Martin S.J. Midland
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.04 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Midland
3:2
Apr 18, 2026 Primera Nacional
Midland vs San Martin S.J.
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Martin S.J. Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alvarez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Midland Compare

Top Goalscorer Flores M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roseti M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin S.J. 95 / 100
Midland 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Martin S.J. Midland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Martin S.J. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Martin S.J.'s goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Midland's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

San Martin S.J. went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Martin S.J. VS Midland
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Martin S.J.

(Home)
27 Sept
Patronato
3 : 0
San Martin S.J.
20 Sept
San Martin S.J.
2 : 0
Colegiales
16 Sept
San Martin S.J.
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
12 Sept
Quilmes
1 : 0
San Martin S.J.
06 Sept
San Martin S.J.
3 : 2
Midland
Page 1 of 6

Midland

(Away)
27 Sept
Midland
0 : 1
Tristan Suarez
20 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 2
Midland
13 Sept
Midland
1 : 0
Chacarita Juniors
06 Sept
San Martin S.J.
3 : 2
Midland
02 Sept
Colegiales
3 : 0
Midland
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
4 Godoy Cruz 31 15 8 8 40:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 31 12 10 9 23:18 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 31 9 13 9 24:21 40
10 Chaco For Ever 31 9 9 13 28:31 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 31 8 12 11 23:27 36
12 Racing Cordoba 31 9 9 13 28:38 36
13 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
14 San Telmo 31 8 10 13 25:34 34
15 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
16 Central Norte 31 6 14 11 19:28 32
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
4 Atletico Atlanta 31 16 4 11 35:28 52
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 31 13 9 9 32:27 48
6 Midland 31 13 8 10 34:26 47
7 San Martin S.J. 31 12 9 10 33:30 45
8 Deportivo Maipu 31 12 8 11 38:31 44
9 Colegiales 31 12 7 12 31:31 43
10 Atl. Rafaela 31 11 9 11 25:27 42
11 San Martin T. 31 9 13 9 34:32 40
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Nueva Chicago 31 9 9 13 23:29 36
14 Agropecuario 31 9 9 13 26:35 36
15 Almagro 31 9 8 14 26:37 35
16 Patronato 31 6 16 9 27:31 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 31 8 6 17 23:33 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 31 5 8 18 23:53 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)