Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Martin T. vs San Martin S.J. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio La Ciudadela, Tucuman
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Graneros A.
38'
Monje L.
40'
Ferreyra N.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between San Martin T. and San Martin S.J. finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
San Martin T.
20%
Draws
29%
San Martin S.J.
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Martin T.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and San Martin S.J. come out ahead of San Martin T. on wins alone.
  • San Martin T. are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
San Martin T. Clean Sheet 68%
San Martin S.J. Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Martin T. San Martin S.J.
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs San Martin S.J.
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs San Martin T.
1:1
Aug 31, 2024 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs San Martin S.J.
1:0
Apr 14, 2024 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs San Martin T.
0:0
Aug 21, 2023 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs San Martin T.
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Martin T. Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

San Martin S.J. Compare

Top Goalscorer Coronel F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin T. 68 / 100
San Martin S.J. 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Martin T. San Martin S.J.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Martin T. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Martin T. scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

San Martin S.J. has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

San Martin T. went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

San Martin S.J.'s recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

San Martin T. VS San Martin S.J.
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Martin T.

(Home)
04 Oct
San Martin T.
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
28 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 2
San Martin T.
19 Sept
Atl. Rafaela
4 : 2
San Martin T.
13 Sept
San Martin T.
3 : 0
Agropecuario
05 Sept
Tristan Suarez
2 : 0
San Martin T.
Page 1 of 6

San Martin S.J.

(Away)
04 Oct
San Martin S.J.
1 : 2
Almagro
27 Sept
Patronato
3 : 0
San Martin S.J.
20 Sept
San Martin S.J.
2 : 0
Colegiales
16 Sept
San Martin S.J.
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
12 Sept
Quilmes
1 : 0
San Martin S.J.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 33 15 14 4 32:15 59
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 33 14 9 10 38:26 51
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 33 13 8 12 32:31 47
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 33 11 9 13 27:34 42
12 Almagro 33 11 8 14 30:39 41
13 Agropecuario 33 10 10 13 27:35 40
14 Quilmes 33 10 9 14 30:28 39
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 33 9 6 18 25:35 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)