Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Miguel vs Acassuso

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Malvinas Argentinas, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Raccio J.
46'
Sub
Diaz T. In: Fernandez G.
Out: Diaz T.
54'
Sub
Dubini K. In: Postigo J.
Out: Dubini K.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between San Miguel and Acassuso finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
San Miguel
30%
Draws
47%
Acassuso
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Acassuso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Acassuso have managed 0.6 goals a game lately — San Miguel are scoring more at 0.77.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
San Miguel Clean Sheet 23%
Acassuso Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Miguel Acassuso
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 13 8
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 0.77 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Miguel vs Acassuso
0:0
Jun 20, 2026 Primera Nacional
Acassuso vs San Miguel
0:2
Jul 1, 2023 Primera B
Acassuso vs San Miguel
2:1
Mar 4, 2023 Primera B
San Miguel vs Acassuso
1:1
Aug 20, 2022 Primera B
San Miguel vs Acassuso
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Miguel 33 / 100
Acassuso 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Miguel Acassuso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Acassuso Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: San Miguel scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Acassuso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Difficult form: Acassuso registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Miguel VS Acassuso
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Miguel

(Home)
19 Sept
San Miguel
1 : 1
All Boys
13 Sept
Los Andes
1 : 1
San Miguel
06 Sept
San Miguel
1 : 2
Godoy Cruz
30 Aug
Deportivo Moron
2 : 1
San Miguel
26 Aug
Chaco For Ever
3 : 0
San Miguel
Page 1 of 6

Acassuso

(Away)
19 Sept
Acassuso
2 : 0
CA Mitre
13 Sept
CA Estudiantes
1 : 0
Acassuso
05 Sept
Acassuso
0 : 1
All Boys
31 Aug
Los Andes
0 : 0
Acassuso
26 Aug
Acassuso
1 : 2
San Telmo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 30 17 7 6 35:25 58
2 Deportivo Moron 30 16 7 7 48:29 55
3 Godoy Cruz 30 15 7 8 38:26 52
4 Deportivo Madryn 30 13 10 7 44:28 49
5 Colon Santa Fe 30 13 9 8 38:25 48
6 Almirante Brown 30 12 10 8 23:17 46
7 CA Estudiantes 30 11 9 10 27:25 42
8 Ciudad Bolivar 30 9 12 9 24:27 39
9 Los Andes 30 8 13 9 22:20 37
10 Chaco For Ever 30 9 9 12 27:29 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 30 8 12 10 23:26 36
12 Racing Cordoba 30 9 8 13 26:36 35
13 All Boys 30 6 14 10 17:26 32
14 CA Mitre 30 6 14 10 27:37 32
15 Central Norte 30 6 13 11 19:28 31
16 San Miguel 30 6 13 11 24:34 31
17 San Telmo 30 7 10 13 23:34 31
18 Acassuso 30 6 8 16 21:34 26
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 30 14 12 4 31:15 54
2 Temperley 30 14 11 5 36:24 53
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 30 15 8 7 45:36 53
4 Atletico Atlanta 30 15 4 11 34:28 49
5 Midland 30 13 8 9 34:25 47
6 San Martin S.J. 30 12 9 9 33:27 45
7 Gimnasia y Tiro 30 12 9 9 31:27 45
8 Atl. Rafaela 30 11 9 10 25:26 42
9 Deportivo Maipu 30 11 8 11 37:31 41
10 Colegiales 30 11 7 12 29:30 40
11 San Martin T. 30 9 12 9 32:30 39
12 Agropecuario 30 9 9 12 26:34 36
13 Quilmes 30 9 8 13 28:27 35
14 Almagro 30 9 8 13 26:36 35
15 Nueva Chicago 30 8 9 13 22:29 33
16 Patronato 30 5 16 9 24:31 31
17 Chacarita Juniors 30 8 6 16 22:31 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 30 5 8 17 23:51 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)