Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Miguel vs CA Estudiantes

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Malvinas Argentinas
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Coronel F.
29'
Bernardi B.
34'
Sub
Diaz T. In: Oses M.
Out: Diaz T.

AI Match Summary

San Miguel host CA Estudiantes in the Primera Nacional. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. CA Estudiantes have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while San Miguel have conceded 1.13 and scored 1. Head-to-head, San Miguel have won 0 to CA Estudiantes's 1, with 4 draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.00, favoring CA Estudiantes. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
San Miguel
30%
Draws
34%
CA Estudiantes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Miguel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • CA Estudiantes has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to San Miguel.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for San Miguel.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Primera Nacional provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
San Miguel Clean Sheet 68%
CA Estudiantes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Miguel CA Estudiantes
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 15
Draws 15 8
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Miguel vs CA Estudiantes
1:1
Jun 29, 2024 Primera Nacional
CA Estudiantes vs San Miguel
1:1
Feb 10, 2024 Primera Nacional
San Miguel vs CA Estudiantes
0:0
Apr 14, 2019 Primera B
San Miguel vs CA Estudiantes
0:1
Nov 4, 2018 Primera B
CA Estudiantes vs San Miguel
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Miguel Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

CA Estudiantes Compare

Top Goalscorer Salas T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Miguel 46 / 100
CA Estudiantes 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Miguel CA Estudiantes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Miguel scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

CA Estudiantes let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

San Miguel went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

CA Estudiantes lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Miguel VS CA Estudiantes
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro19114422:1437
2Deportivo Moron19104527:1734
3Colon Santa Fe1988323:1532
4Ciudad Bolivar1979318:1330
5Los Andes1978416:729
6Almirante Brown1985614:1229
7Deportivo Madryn1977525:2028
8CA Estudiantes1976615:1627
9Godoy Cruz1967619:1725
10San Miguel19510417:2025
11Defensores de Belgrano1958614:1723
12Racing Cordoba1956817:2221
13San Telmo1948715:1820
14All Boys1948712:1920
15Central Norte1947812:1719
16Acassuso19541013:2019
17CA Mitre1939719:2418
18Chaco For Ever19271014:2513
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy19114431:2137
2Atletico Atlanta19103624:1533
3Tristan Suarez1979316:1130
4Temperley1979319:1730
5Midland1976620:1527
6Atl. Rafaela1976614:1327
7San Martin T.1968516:1526
8Deportivo Maipu1974824:2025
9Nueva Chicago1867517:1625
10Almagro1974816:1925
11Quilmes1966718:1524
12Gimnasia y Tiro1966718:2024
13Colegiales1965818:1923
14San Martin S.J.1865718:1923
15Chacarita Juniors1964915:2022
16Patronato1949612:1621
17Club Atletico Guemes19541018:3219
18Agropecuario1946914:2418