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San Miguel vs CA Mitre - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Malvinas Argentinas, Buenos Aires
San Miguel Logo

San Miguel

0 - 2
FT
CA Mitre Logo

CA Mitre

Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Sub
Abello D. In: Mieres B.
Out: Abello D.
46'
Sub
Cabral Y. In: Maldonado M.
Out: Cabral Y.
49'
Ramirez I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between San Miguel and CA Mitre finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CA Mitre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
San Miguel
35%
Draws
46%
CA Mitre
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CA Mitre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CA Mitre come out ahead of San Miguel on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
San Miguel Clean Sheet 20%
CA Mitre Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Miguel CA Mitre
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 6
Draws 12 13
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.72 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Miguel vs CA Mitre
0:2
May 17, 2026 Primera Nacional
CA Mitre vs San Miguel
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Miguel Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

CA Mitre Compare

Top Goalscorer Machado M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Miguel 32 / 100
CA Mitre 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Miguel CA Mitre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Mitre let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

San Miguel found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: San Miguel remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

San Miguel VS CA Mitre
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Miguel

(Home)
03 Oct
San Miguel
0 : 2
CA Mitre
26 Sept
CA Estudiantes
2 : 1
San Miguel
19 Sept
San Miguel
1 : 1
All Boys
13 Sept
Los Andes
1 : 1
San Miguel
06 Sept
San Miguel
1 : 2
Godoy Cruz
Page 1 of 6

CA Mitre

(Away)
03 Oct
San Miguel
0 : 2
CA Mitre
27 Sept
CA Mitre
0 : 2
San Telmo
19 Sept
Acassuso
2 : 0
CA Mitre
13 Sept
CA Mitre
0 : 0
Chaco For Ever
04 Sept
Ferro
0 : 0
CA Mitre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)