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San Miguel vs CD Marino

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Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Maxi
62' Event
Santos A. V.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 game between San Miguel and CD Marino finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Miguel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
San Miguel
20%
Draws
17%
CD Marino
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Miguel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • CD Marino haven't matched San Miguel's recent run of results.
  • Model gives San Miguel a 63% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
San Miguel Clean Sheet 68%
CD Marino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Miguel CD Marino
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 9 7
Draws 8 14
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Miguel vs CD Marino
2:0
Jan 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs San Miguel
1:2
Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs San Miguel
1:1
Nov 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Miguel vs CD Marino
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Miguel Compare

Top Goalscorer Maxi
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santos A. V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

CD Marino Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Miguel 95 / 100
CD Marino 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Miguel CD Marino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Miguel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: San Miguel remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

San Miguel scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

CD Marino has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

San Miguel VS CD Marino
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Miguel

(Home)
13 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1
San Miguel
10 May
Las Palmas C
0 : 1
San Miguel
03 May
San Miguel
1 : 1
Panaderia
26 Apr
Telde
1 : 3
San Miguel
18 Apr
San Miguel
2 : 0
CD Marino
Page 1 of 6

CD Marino

(Away)
18 Sept
CD Marino
3 : 1
Real Union Tenerife
13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2
Panaderia
08 Aug
Tenerife B
4 : 1
CD Marino
26 Jul
CD Marino
0 : 6
Tenerife
10 May
CD Marino
1 : 2
Arucas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paso 34 18 13 3 51:19 67
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 49:23 66
3 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 51:31 63
4 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 56:36 63
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 47:33 55
6 Las Palmas C 34 15 9 10 58:42 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 49:46 52
8 Villa Santa Brigida 34 15 5 14 42:35 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 45:36 48
10 Real Union Tenerife 34 12 9 13 34:32 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 37:43 39
12 CD Marino 34 8 15 11 44:40 39
13 Union Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 33:43 38
14 San Bartolome 34 8 12 14 30:55 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 31:47 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 39:58 32
17 SD Tenisca 34 6 7 21 32:68 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 30:71 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)