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San Miguel vs Colon Santa Fe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Malvinas Argentinas, Buenos Aires
San Miguel Logo

San Miguel

1 - 2
FT
Colon Santa Fe Logo

Colon Santa Fe

Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Cruz A.
45' Event
Toledo A.
Assist: Lago I.
46'
Sub
Brochero L. In: Oses M.
Out: Brochero L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Colon Santa Fe in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colon Santa Fe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
San Miguel
30%
Draws
54%
Colon Santa Fe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Colon Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Colon Santa Fe have won more games recently than San Miguel.
  • Colon Santa Fe are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
San Miguel Clean Sheet 16%
Colon Santa Fe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Miguel Colon Santa Fe
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 4 12
Draws 11 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.71 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Miguel vs Colon Santa Fe
1:2
Apr 4, 2026 Primera Nacional
Colon Santa Fe vs San Miguel
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Miguel Compare

Top Goalscorer Nasta B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Colon Santa Fe Compare

Top Goalscorer Toledo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lertora F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Miguel 28 / 100
Colon Santa Fe 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Miguel Colon Santa Fe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colon Santa Fe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

San Miguel scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Colon Santa Fe has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: San Miguel remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

San Miguel VS Colon Santa Fe
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

San Miguel

(Home)
03 Oct
San Miguel
0 : 2
CA Mitre
26 Sept
CA Estudiantes
2 : 1
San Miguel
19 Sept
San Miguel
1 : 1
All Boys
13 Sept
Los Andes
1 : 1
San Miguel
06 Sept
San Miguel
1 : 2
Godoy Cruz
Page 1 of 6

Colon Santa Fe

(Away)
03 Oct
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 0
CA Estudiantes
26 Sept
All Boys
0 : 0
Colon Santa Fe
20 Sept
Colon Santa Fe
3 : 0
Los Andes
13 Sept
Godoy Cruz
2 : 0
Colon Santa Fe
05 Sept
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 2
Deportivo Moron
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 33 15 14 4 32:15 59
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 33 14 9 10 38:26 51
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 33 13 8 12 32:31 47
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 33 11 9 13 27:34 42
12 Almagro 33 11 8 14 30:39 41
13 Agropecuario 33 10 10 13 27:35 40
14 Quilmes 33 10 9 14 30:28 39
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 33 9 6 18 25:35 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)