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San Miguel vs Tenerife C - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Eckert F.
90' Event
Martin H.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 game between San Miguel and Tenerife C finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Miguel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
San Miguel
20%
Draws
33%
Tenerife C
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Miguel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and San Miguel come out ahead of Tenerife C on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans San Miguel's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • San Miguel have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
San Miguel Clean Sheet 68%
Tenerife C Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Miguel Tenerife C
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.16 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Miguel vs Tenerife C
2:0
Apr 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Miguel vs Tenerife C
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tenerife C vs San Miguel
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Miguel Compare

Top Goalscorer Eckert F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Tenerife C Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Miguel 95 / 100
Tenerife C 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Miguel Tenerife C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Miguel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tenerife C let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: San Miguel scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: San Miguel stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Miguel VS Tenerife C
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

San Miguel

(Home)
09 Oct
Anaza
0 : 2
San Miguel
03 Oct
San Miguel
2 : 0
Tenerife C
27 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0
San Miguel
19 Sept
San Miguel
3 : 1
Villa Santa Brigida
13 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1
San Miguel
Page 1 of 7

Tenerife C

(Away)
10 Oct
Tenerife C
4 : 1
Villaverde Norte
03 Oct
San Miguel
2 : 0
Tenerife C
25 Sept
Tenerife C
3 : 2
Anaza
19 Sept
Panaderia
3 : 3
Tenerife C
13 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0
Tenerife C
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union Tenerife 5 4 0 1 8:3 12
2 San Miguel 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
3 Panaderia 5 3 1 1 14:11 10
4 UD San Fernando 4 3 0 1 11:2 9
5 Mensajero 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
6 Las Palmas C 5 2 2 1 9:6 8
7 San Bartolome 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
8 CD Marino 5 2 1 2 13:8 7
9 Tenerife C 5 2 1 2 10:9 7
10 Los Llanos 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
11 Estrella 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
12 Lanzarote 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
13 Villa Santa Brigida 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
14 Union Sur Yaiza 5 2 0 3 6:7 6
15 Anaza 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
16 CD Laguna 5 0 1 4 6:12 1
17 Villaverde Norte 5 0 1 4 4:12 1
18 UD Playas de Sotavento 5 0 1 4 3:18 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)