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San Miguel vs Tenerife C

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Martin H.
55' Event
Monserrat N.
69'
Marrero O.

AI Match Summary

San Miguel in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Miguel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
San Miguel
35%
Draws
10%
Tenerife C
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Miguel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • San Miguel haven't matched Tenerife C's recent run of results.
  • 55% — that's where the model lands on San Miguel taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
San Miguel Clean Sheet 68%
Tenerife C Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Miguel Tenerife C
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Miguel vs Tenerife C
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tenerife C vs San Miguel
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Miguel Compare

Top Goalscorer Martin H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Tenerife C Compare

Top Goalscorer Monserrat N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Miguel 95 / 100
Tenerife C 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Miguel Tenerife C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Miguel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: San Miguel remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: San Miguel scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Tenerife C let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

San Miguel VS Tenerife C
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Miguel

(Home)
13 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1
San Miguel
10 May
Las Palmas C
0 : 1
San Miguel
03 May
San Miguel
1 : 1
Panaderia
26 Apr
Telde
1 : 3
San Miguel
18 Apr
San Miguel
2 : 0
CD Marino
Page 1 of 6

Tenerife C

(Away)
13 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0
Tenerife C
10 May
Tenerife C
0 : 1
San Bartolome
03 May
UD San Fernando
5 : 0
Tenerife C
25 Apr
Tenerife C
1 : 1
Arucas
18 Apr
Villa Santa Brigida
2 : 2
Tenerife C
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paso 34 18 13 3 51:19 67
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 49:23 66
3 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 51:31 63
4 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 56:36 63
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 47:33 55
6 Las Palmas C 34 15 9 10 58:42 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 49:46 52
8 Villa Santa Brigida 34 15 5 14 42:35 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 45:36 48
10 Real Union Tenerife 34 12 9 13 34:32 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 37:43 39
12 CD Marino 34 8 15 11 44:40 39
13 Union Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 33:43 38
14 San Bartolome 34 8 12 14 30:55 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 31:47 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 39:58 32
17 SD Tenisca 34 6 7 21 32:68 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 30:71 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)