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San Pedro vs Nouadhibou - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CAF Champions League. This one's hard to separate. San Pedro have averaged 1.21 scored and 1.24 conceded recently, against Nouadhibou's 1.79 scored and 0.64 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.31, favoring Nouadhibou. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
San Pedro
35%
Draws
40%
Nouadhibou
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nouadhibou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Nouadhibou have won more games recently than San Pedro.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Nouadhibou arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
San Pedro Clean Sheet 18%
Nouadhibou Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Pedro Nouadhibou
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 17
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 1.21 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Pedro 31 / 100
Nouadhibou 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Pedro Nouadhibou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Pedro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: San Pedro scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: San Pedro remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Nouadhibou conceded in 43% of 28 recent games.

Difficult form: Nouadhibou registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Pedro VS Nouadhibou
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Pedro

(Home)
04 Oct
Tchologo
0 : 2
San Pedro
27 Sept
San Pedro
0 : 1
Zoman
13 Sept
Rivers United
2 : 2
San Pedro
05 Sept
San Pedro
1 : 1
Rivers United
09 Aug
CS Sfaxien
1 : 0
San Pedro
Page 1 of 6

Nouadhibou

(Away)
13 Sept
Nouadhibou
0 : 0
Vipers
05 Sept
Vipers
1 : 1
Nouadhibou
23 May
Nouadhibou
1 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
17 May
Nouakchott King's
3 : 2
Nouadhibou
10 May
Nouadhibou
4 : 1
Police
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Wiliete 5
Foresters 0
TBD -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Scottland 1
Nsingizini Hotspurs 0
UD Songo 2
Petro Atletico 3
Mangasport 3
African Stars 3
La Cure Waves 1
Orlando Pirates 3
15 de Agosto 5
Fomboni 0
Mighty Wanderers FC 1
Simba 7
CFFA 3
Lijabatho 1
Gaborone Utd 2
Young Africans 3
Asswehly 4
KVZ 0
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
Aigles du Congo 1
APR 3
Port 1
Zamalek 6
EL Merriekh Bentiu 4
Heegan 0
Mahia 1
Pyramids 7
Aiglons 0
Sidama Bunna 3
Aigle Noir 0
Al Hilal Omdurman 3
Star Sport Academy 1
Medina United 1
TBD -
Berkane -
Maghreb Fez 4
Rahimo 1
ASC Kara 2
ASEC Mimosas 3
Canchungo 0
Teungueth 2
Colombe 1
Stade Malien 0
Rangers International 3
Sobemap 2
Nigelec 0
MC Alger 5
San Pedro 3
Rivers United 3
Vipers 1
Nouadhibou 1
Saoura 2
Horoya 3
Al Merreikh 2
Power Dynamos 0
Medeama 1
Mazembe 4
Club Africain 3
Djoliba 2
Final
Wiliete -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Scottland -
Petro Atletico -
African Stars -
Orlando Pirates -
15 de Agosto -
Simba -
CFFA -
Young Africans -
Asswehly -
Esperance Tunis -
APR -
Zamalek -
EL Merriekh Bentiu -
Pyramids -
Sidama Bunna -
Al Hilal Omdurman -
Star Sport Academy -
Berkane -
Maghreb Fez -
ASEC Mimosas -
Teungueth -
Colombe -
Rangers International -
MC Alger -
San Pedro -
Nouadhibou -
Horoya -
Al Merreikh -
Mazembe -
Club Africain -