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San Roque de Lepe vs AD Ceuta B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10
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Match Events

31' Event
Aguilera P.
59' Event
Mas D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 game between San Roque de Lepe and AD Ceuta B finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
San Roque de Lepe
20%
Draws
29%
AD Ceuta B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Roque de Lepe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • San Roque de Lepe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans San Roque de Lepe's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
San Roque de Lepe Clean Sheet 68%
AD Ceuta B Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Roque de Lepe AD Ceuta B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.21 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
San Roque de Lepe vs AD Ceuta B
1:1
May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
San Roque de Lepe vs AD Ceuta B
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs San Roque de Lepe
0:0
Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs San Roque de Lepe
2:3
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
San Roque de Lepe vs AD Ceuta B
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Roque de Lepe Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguilera P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

AD Ceuta B Compare

Top Goalscorer Mas D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Roque de Lepe 86 / 100
AD Ceuta B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Roque de Lepe AD Ceuta B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Roque de Lepe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Roque de Lepe scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: AD Ceuta B conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: San Roque de Lepe remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

San Roque de Lepe VS AD Ceuta B
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

San Roque de Lepe

(Home)
04 Oct
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 0
Betis C
27 Sept
Bollullos
1 : 2
San Roque de Lepe
20 Sept
Sevilla C
2 : 1
San Roque de Lepe
13 Sept
Portuense
2 : 0
San Roque de Lepe
06 Sept
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 1
AD Ceuta B
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AD Ceuta B

(Away)
03 Oct
Dos Hermanas
5 : 0
AD Ceuta B
26 Sept
AD Ceuta B
0 : 1
Tomares UD
19 Sept
Chiclana
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
12 Sept
AD Ceuta B
1 : 3
Egabrense
06 Sept
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 1
AD Ceuta B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dos Hermanas 5 4 1 0 13:2 13
2 CD Utrera 5 4 0 1 7:5 12
3 Betis C 5 3 1 1 11:6 10
4 Portuense 5 3 1 1 9:5 10
5 Pozoblanco 5 3 0 2 8:4 9
6 Egabrense 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
7 Chiclana 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
8 Tomares UD 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
9 San Roque de Lepe 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Xerez Deportivo FC 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
11 Linense 5 2 0 3 8:9 6
12 Conil 5 2 0 3 4:7 6
13 Cadiz B 5 1 2 2 4:4 5
14 Sevilla C 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
15 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
16 AD Ceuta B 5 1 1 3 3:10 4
17 Bollullos 5 0 2 3 6:10 2
18 Cordoba B 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 (Play Offs)