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San Roque de Lepe vs CD Alcala

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017
San Roque de Lepe Logo

San Roque de Lepe

4 - 0
FT
CD Alcala Logo

CD Alcala

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017 game between San Roque de Lepe and CD Alcala finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Roque de Lepe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
San Roque de Lepe
15%
Draws
73%
CD Alcala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Alcala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and San Roque de Lepe come out ahead of CD Alcala on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on San Roque de Lepe taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and San Roque de Lepe have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
San Roque de Lepe Clean Sheet 20%
CD Alcala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Roque de Lepe CD Alcala
Matches Played 38 33
Wins 14 12
Draws 10 3
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.32 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
San Roque de Lepe vs CD Alcala
4:1
Oct 15, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs San Roque de Lepe
0:2
Apr 23, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
San Roque de Lepe vs CD Alcala
4:0
Dec 4, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs San Roque de Lepe
1:3
Mar 16, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs San Roque de Lepe
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Roque de Lepe 36 / 100
CD Alcala 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Roque de Lepe CD Alcala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

San Roque de Lepe found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (38 games).

CD Alcala has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.

CD Alcala's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

San Roque de Lepe VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

San Roque de Lepe

(Home)
20 Sept
Sevilla C
2 : 1
San Roque de Lepe
13 Sept
Portuense
2 : 0
San Roque de Lepe
06 Sept
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 1
AD Ceuta B
10 May
San Roque de Lepe
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
03 May
Cordoba B
2 : 0
San Roque de Lepe
Page 1 of 8

CD Alcala

(Away)
13 May
CD Alcala
0 : 2
Sanluqueno
06 May
Sevilla C
4 : 0
CD Alcala
28 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 0
CD Alcala
22 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0
Castilleja CF
15 Apr
Inter Sevilla
0 : 2
CD Alcala
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betis B 38 23 6 9 81:35 75
2 Arcos CF 38 21 11 6 76:39 74
3 Ecija 38 20 9 9 69:39 69
4 Algeciras 38 19 11 8 66:34 68
5 San Roque de Lepe 38 19 9 10 68:52 66
6 Atletico Espeleno 38 17 9 12 63:56 60
7 Sevilla C 38 15 13 10 55:39 58
8 AD Ceuta 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
9 Lebrijana 38 14 11 13 45:48 53
10 CD Utrera 38 15 6 17 49:50 51
11 CD Gerena 38 14 7 17 53:53 49
12 Los Barrios 38 13 8 17 31:44 47
13 CD Guadalcacin 38 12 10 16 42:57 46
14 Cabecense 38 10 13 15 47:64 43
15 Castilleja CF 38 12 7 19 44:55 43
16 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 11 10 17 45:66 43
17 CD Alcala 38 12 7 19 37:65 43
18 Antoniano 38 9 13 16 38:59 40
19 Coria C.F. 38 8 12 18 48:66 36
20 San Roque de Cadiz 38 6 6 26 37:79 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)