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San Roque de Lepe vs Chiclana

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Hernandez J.
48' Event
Sanchez M.
55' Event
Ranchero

AI Match Summary

San Roque de Lepe host Chiclana in the Tercera RFEF - Group 10. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Chiclana have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while San Roque de Lepe have conceded 1.75 and scored 0.88. Past meetings favor San Roque de Lepe slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.38) point toward San Roque de Lepe. San Roque de Lepe in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
San Roque de Lepe
33%
Draws
40%
Chiclana
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Chiclana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • San Roque de Lepe has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Chiclana.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Chiclana.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 10 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
San Roque de Lepe Clean Sheet 17%
Chiclana Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Roque de Lepe Chiclana
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 8
Draws 10 13
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
San Roque de Lepe vs Chiclana
2:2
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Chiclana vs San Roque de Lepe
1:0
May 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
San Roque de Lepe vs Chiclana
2:1
Dec 14, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Chiclana vs San Roque de Lepe
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Roque de Lepe Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez J. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Chiclana Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ranchero
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Roque de Lepe 28 / 100
Chiclana 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Roque de Lepe Chiclana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Roque de Lepe scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Chiclana let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

San Roque de Lepe went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Chiclana lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Roque de Lepe VS Chiclana
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad de Lucena34227569:2573
2Dos Hermanas341861069:3960
3Atletico Central341510936:2955
4Bollullos341411943:3553
5AD Ceuta B3414101038:3852
6Linense341313845:3252
7Cadiz B3414101050:3852
8Conil341571243:4452
9Cordoba B341281444:4444
10CD Utrera341281440:4744
11Pozoblanco3410131139:4443
12Chiclana3410131139:4543
13San Roque de Lepe3410131139:3943
14Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)3410101436:4340
15Tomares UD341091534:4639
16Sevilla C341081634:4138
17Castilleja CF34691928:6227
18Coria C.F.34492124:5921