Sport Picks
San Roque de Lepe vs Velez Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 
Match Events
11'
11'
Garcia S.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
San Roque de Lepe in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Roque de Lepe.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Roque de Lepe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to San Roque de Lepe lately — more wins on the board than Velez.
- San Roque de Lepe are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors San Roque de Lepe here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
San Roque de Lepe Clean Sheet 20%
Velez Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Roque de Lepe | Velez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 4 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.16 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 14, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
San Roque de Lepe vs Velez
1:0
Dec 3, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Velez vs San Roque de Lepe
2:1
Feb 19, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
San Roque de Lepe vs Velez
1:0
Oct 2, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Velez vs San Roque de Lepe
0:2
May 8, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
San Roque de Lepe vs Velez
5:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Roque de Lepe 85 / 100
Velez 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Roque de Lepe Velez
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Roque de Lepe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Velez has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Velez lost 5 of their last 5 games.
San Roque de Lepe's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
San Roque de Lepe VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
San Roque de Lepe
(Home) 27 Sept
Bollullos
1 : 2 San Roque de Lepe
20 Sept
Sevilla C
2 : 1 San Roque de Lepe
13 Sept
Portuense
2 : 0 San Roque de Lepe
06 Sept
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 1 AD Ceuta B
10 May
San Roque de Lepe
0 : 1 AD Ceuta B
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 1 AD Ceuta B
10 May
San Roque de Lepe
0 : 1 AD Ceuta B
26 Apr
San Roque de Lepe
2 : 2 Chiclana
12 Apr
San Roque de Lepe
0 : 0 Atletico Central
29 Mar
San Roque de Lepe
0 : 3 Dos Hermanas
Page 1 of 3
Velez
(Away) 05 May
UCAM Murcia
9 : 0 Velez
28 Apr
Velez
2 : 6 Marbella
21 Apr
Velez
0 : 1 Sevilla B
14 Apr
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 0 Velez
07 Apr
Velez
0 : 1 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
Page 1 of 6
05 May
UCAM Murcia
9 : 0 Velez
14 Apr
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 0 Velez
31 Mar
Linense
3 : 1 Velez
17 Mar
CD Estepona
4 : 1 Velez
03 Mar
Aguilas FC
1 : 0 Velez
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sevilla B | 34 | 18 | 12 | 4 | 52:20 | 66 |
| 2 | Yeclano | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 43:29 | 60 |
| 3 | Marbella | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 41:32 | 56 |
| 4 | Orihuela | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 39:37 | 54 |
| 5 | Betis B | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 44:28 | 53 |
| 6 | CD Estepona | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 34:27 | 49 |
| 7 | Aguilas FC | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 27:20 | 48 |
| 8 | UCAM Murcia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:35 | 47 |
| 9 | Linense | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 35:33 | 47 |
| 10 | Antoniano | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 32:40 | 46 |
| 11 | La Union (Malacitano) | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 36:36 | 43 |
| 12 | Cadiz B | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 41:43 | 42 |
| 13 | Manchego Ciudad Real | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 29:36 | 41 |
| 14 | Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 20:28 | 40 |
| 15 | El Palo | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 26:36 | 36 |
| 16 | San Roque de Lepe | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:39 | 36 |
| 17 | Velez | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 31:61 | 29 |
| 18 | FC Cartagena SAD B | 34 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 25:51 | 23 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)
