Sport Picks

Spain

Copa Federacion

Alfaro

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

San Sebastian Reyes play Alfaro in the Copa Federacion. San Sebastian Reyes are favorites here. Recently, San Sebastian Reyes averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.73 conceded. Alfaro averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, San Sebastian Reyes won 1, Alfaro won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 10, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for San Sebastian Reyes and 1.19 for Alfaro. This points to a San Sebastian Reyes double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%

San Sebastian Reyes

23%

Draws

16%

Alfaro

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: San Sebastian Reyes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

San Sebastian Reyes picked up more points recently compared to Alfaro.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 41%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

San Sebastian Reyes Clean Sheet 20%

Alfaro Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	San Sebastian Reyes	Alfaro
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	17	6
Draws	9	5
Losses	4	19
Goals Scored	1.5	0.87
Goals Conceded	0.73	1.73
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2025 Copa Federacion

San Sebastian Reyes vs Alfaro

Possession: 58% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Sebastian Reyes 59 / 100

Alfaro 16 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

San Sebastian Reyes Alfaro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Sebastian Reyes Win (1)

Secondary Pick San Sebastian Reyes & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.3%

1.89

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.3%

2.86

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Sebastian Reyes attacking → ← attacking Alfaro

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Sebastian Reyes scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Alfaro let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

San Sebastian Reyes went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Alfaro lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 23

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25