Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2009/2010

CD Arganda

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

San Sebastian Reyes play CD Arganda in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2009/2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, San Sebastian Reyes averaged 1.47 goals scored and 0.81 conceded. CD Arganda averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, San Sebastian Reyes won 0, CD Arganda won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 14, 2010 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for San Sebastian Reyes and 0.75 for CD Arganda. This points to a San Sebastian Reyes double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

San Sebastian Reyes

29%

Draws

26%

CD Arganda

Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: San Sebastian Reyes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

San Sebastian Reyes picked up more points recently compared to CD Arganda.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 0.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 47%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

San Sebastian Reyes Clean Sheet 27%

CD Arganda Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	San Sebastian Reyes	CD Arganda
Matches Played	36	30
Wins	20	6
Draws	9	10
Losses	7	14
Goals Scored	1.47	1.1
Goals Conceded	0.81	1.7

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

San Sebastian Reyes vs CD Arganda

Possession: 48% - 59% Cards: 4 - 2

0:1

Sep 27, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

CD Arganda vs San Sebastian Reyes

Possession: 45% - 53% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Sebastian Reyes 46 / 100

CD Arganda 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

San Sebastian Reyes CD Arganda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: San Sebastian Reyes or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21.5%

2.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.7%

2.44

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Sebastian Reyes attacking → ← attacking CD Arganda

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Sebastian Reyes scored in 78% of their last 36 games.

CD Arganda let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

San Sebastian Reyes went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

CD Arganda lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

69 Points in last 5 28

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rayo Vallecano B	38	25	10	3	68:23	85
2	Parla	38	21	11	6	65:33	74
3	Getafe B	38	20	10	8	77:41	70
4	Trival Valderas	38	21	6	11	77:45	69
5	CF Fuenlabrada	38	20	8	10	52:33	68
6	Real Madrid C	38	18	10	10	59:43	64
7	Navalcarnero	38	17	6	15	49:48	57
8	CD Mostoles	38	15	11	12	52:42	56
9	Rayo Majadahonda	38	16	6	16	46:47	54
10	AD Colmenar	38	16	5	17	53:54	53
11	Atl. Madrid C	38	14	10	14	55:51	52
12	San Fernando de Henares	38	14	8	16	42:58	50
13	San Sebastian Reyes	38	14	8	16	57:57	50
14	Atletico Pinto	38	12	11	15	43:62	47
15	Vallecas CF	38	12	10	16	46:51	46
16	Mexico	38	10	13	15	46:53	43
17	CD Arganda	38	9	12	17	40:61	39
18	Santa Ana	38	8	6	24	38:73	30
19	CD Ciempozuelos	38	6	6	26	36:80	24
20	Galactico Pegaso	38	6	5	27	27:73	23