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San Sebastian Reyes vs Colonia Moscardo

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Silva Teles V.
78' Event
Ruiz F.
87' Event
Bravo Fernandez M.

AI Match Summary

San Sebastian Reyes in this Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Sebastian Reyes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
San Sebastian Reyes
39%
Draws
31%
Colonia Moscardo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to San Sebastian Reyes lately — more wins on the board than Colonia Moscardo.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
San Sebastian Reyes Clean Sheet 68%
Colonia Moscardo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Sebastian Reyes Colonia Moscardo
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 18 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
San Sebastian Reyes vs Colonia Moscardo
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Colonia Moscardo vs San Sebastian Reyes
0:1
Jan 26, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Colonia Moscardo vs San Sebastian Reyes
1:1
Sep 15, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
San Sebastian Reyes vs Colonia Moscardo
1:1
Mar 24, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Colonia Moscardo vs San Sebastian Reyes
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Sebastian Reyes Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva Teles V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ruiz F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Colonia Moscardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bravo Fernandez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Sebastian Reyes 41 / 100
Colonia Moscardo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Sebastian Reyes Colonia Moscardo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Sebastian Reyes's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Colonia Moscardo has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: San Sebastian Reyes stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Sebastian Reyes VS Colonia Moscardo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Sebastian Reyes

(Home)
30 May
San Sebastian Reyes
1 : 1
UD Logrones
24 May
UD Logrones
1 : 0
San Sebastian Reyes
17 May
San Sebastian Reyes
1 : 1
Alcoyano
10 May
Alcoyano
0 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes
03 May
Tenerife B
1 : 3
San Sebastian Reyes
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Colonia Moscardo

(Away)
03 May
CF Intercity
2 : 0
Colonia Moscardo
26 Apr
Colonia Moscardo
0 : 0
Navalcarnero
14 Apr
Real Madrid C
1 : 0
Colonia Moscardo
11 Apr
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0
Orihuela
05 Apr
Getafe B
0 : 2
Colonia Moscardo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rayo Majadahonda342010452:2370
2San Sebastian Reyes34217651:2770
3Conquense341612642:3060
4Getafe B34169955:3557
5CD Coria34169950:3857
6RSD Alcala341491142:3951
7Tenerife B341551457:5350
8Orihuela3412101245:4346
9CF Intercity3411101342:4543
10Navalcarnero3411101340:4243
11Las Palmas B341191442:4542
12Ilicitano3410111351:5641
13Real Madrid C341171642:4540
14Quintanar del Rey341161736:4339
15CF Fuenlabrada349101535:4437
16Colonia Moscardo34971837:5734
17Socuellamos347101734:5531
18Rayo Vallecano B34932230:6330
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)