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San Telmo vs Almirante Brown Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Osvaldo Baletto, Dock Sud
San Telmo Logo

San Telmo

Sun, Oct 4, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Almirante Brown Logo

Almirante Brown

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

San Telmo host Almirante Brown in the Primera Nacional. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: San Telmo at 0.79 goals for, 1.03 against; Almirante Brown at 0.72 for, 0.59 against. Past meetings favor Almirante Brown slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.63 - 1.13) back Almirante Brown to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Under 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
San Telmo
30%
Draws
29%
Almirante Brown
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Telmo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Almirante Brown carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on San Telmo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.6%
San Telmo Clean Sheet 20%
Almirante Brown Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Telmo Almirante Brown
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.79 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs San Telmo
0:0
Sep 8, 2025 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs San Telmo
1:0
May 3, 2025 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Almirante Brown
0:1
Oct 5, 2024 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Almirante Brown
0:1
May 20, 2024 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs San Telmo
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Telmo 42 / 100
Almirante Brown 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Telmo Almirante Brown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: San Telmo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: San Telmo scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Almirante Brown has conceded goals in 41% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

San Telmo VS Almirante Brown
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Telmo

(Home)
27 Sept
CA Mitre
0 : 2
San Telmo
19 Sept
San Telmo
0 : 1
CA Estudiantes
12 Sept
All Boys
0 : 1
San Telmo
05 Sept
San Telmo
0 : 0
Los Andes
30 Aug
Godoy Cruz
3 : 0
San Telmo
Page 1 of 6

Almirante Brown

(Away)
26 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 1
Acassuso
20 Sept
Chaco For Ever
1 : 0
Almirante Brown
13 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 0
Ferro
06 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 0
Almirante Brown
30 Aug
Almirante Brown
1 : 0
Deportivo Madryn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 31 18 7 6 36:25 61
2 Deportivo Moron 31 16 7 8 49:31 55
3 Godoy Cruz 31 15 8 8 40:28 53
4 Deportivo Madryn 31 13 11 7 44:28 50
5 Colon Santa Fe 31 13 10 8 38:25 49
6 Almirante Brown 31 12 10 9 23:18 46
7 CA Estudiantes 31 12 9 10 29:26 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 31 10 12 9 26:28 42
9 Los Andes 31 9 13 9 24:21 40
10 Chaco For Ever 31 9 9 13 28:31 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 31 8 12 11 23:27 36
12 Racing Cordoba 31 9 9 13 28:38 36
13 San Telmo 31 8 10 13 25:34 34
14 All Boys 31 6 15 10 17:26 33
15 Central Norte 31 6 14 11 19:28 32
16 CA Mitre 31 6 14 11 27:39 32
17 San Miguel 31 6 13 12 25:36 31
18 Acassuso 31 7 8 16 22:34 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 31 15 12 4 32:15 57
2 Gimnasia Jujuy 31 15 9 7 47:38 54
3 Temperley 31 14 11 6 36:25 53
4 Atletico Atlanta 31 16 4 11 35:28 52
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 31 13 9 9 32:27 48
6 Midland 31 13 8 10 34:26 47
7 San Martin S.J. 31 12 9 10 33:30 45
8 Deportivo Maipu 31 12 8 11 38:31 44
9 Colegiales 31 12 7 12 31:31 43
10 Atl. Rafaela 31 11 9 11 25:27 42
11 San Martin T. 31 9 13 9 34:32 40
12 Quilmes 31 10 8 13 30:27 38
13 Nueva Chicago 31 9 9 13 23:29 36
14 Agropecuario 31 9 9 13 26:35 36
15 Almagro 31 9 8 14 26:37 35
16 Patronato 31 6 16 9 27:31 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 31 8 6 17 23:33 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 31 5 8 18 23:53 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)