Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Telmo vs CA Estudiantes

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Osvaldo Baletto, Dock Sud
San Telmo Logo

San Telmo

0 - 1
FT
CA Estudiantes Logo

CA Estudiantes

Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Uriburu R.
25'
Torres Caro N.
51'
Sub
Paredes G. In: Gamarra R.
Out: Paredes G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between San Telmo and CA Estudiantes finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CA Estudiantes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
San Telmo
20%
Draws
47%
CA Estudiantes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CA Estudiantes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • CA Estudiantes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
San Telmo Clean Sheet 20%
CA Estudiantes Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Telmo CA Estudiantes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.79 1
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs CA Estudiantes
0:1
May 2, 2026 Primera Nacional
CA Estudiantes vs San Telmo
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 Primera Nacional
CA Estudiantes vs San Telmo
2:0
Mar 22, 2025 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs CA Estudiantes
1:0
Sep 24, 2022 Primera Nacional
CA Estudiantes vs San Telmo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Telmo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

CA Estudiantes Compare

Top Goalscorer Rostagno D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Telmo 32 / 100
CA Estudiantes 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Telmo CA Estudiantes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: San Telmo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

San Telmo scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

CA Estudiantes let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

San Telmo VS CA Estudiantes
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Telmo

(Home)
27 Sept
CA Mitre
0 : 2
San Telmo
19 Sept
San Telmo
0 : 1
CA Estudiantes
12 Sept
All Boys
0 : 1
San Telmo
05 Sept
San Telmo
0 : 0
Los Andes
30 Aug
Godoy Cruz
3 : 0
San Telmo
Page 1 of 6

CA Estudiantes

(Away)
26 Sept
CA Estudiantes
2 : 1
San Miguel
19 Sept
San Telmo
0 : 1
CA Estudiantes
13 Sept
CA Estudiantes
1 : 0
Acassuso
06 Sept
Chaco For Ever
1 : 0
CA Estudiantes
30 Aug
CA Estudiantes
2 : 2
Ferro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 31 18 7 6 36:25 61
2 Deportivo Moron 31 16 7 8 49:31 55
3 Godoy Cruz 31 15 8 8 40:28 53
4 Deportivo Madryn 31 13 11 7 44:28 50
5 Colon Santa Fe 31 13 10 8 38:25 49
6 Almirante Brown 31 12 10 9 23:18 46
7 CA Estudiantes 31 12 9 10 29:26 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 31 10 12 9 26:28 42
9 Los Andes 31 9 13 9 24:21 40
10 Chaco For Ever 31 9 9 13 28:31 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 31 8 12 11 23:27 36
12 Racing Cordoba 31 9 9 13 28:38 36
13 San Telmo 31 8 10 13 25:34 34
14 All Boys 31 6 15 10 17:26 33
15 Central Norte 31 6 14 11 19:28 32
16 CA Mitre 31 6 14 11 27:39 32
17 San Miguel 31 6 13 12 25:36 31
18 Acassuso 31 7 8 16 22:34 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 31 15 12 4 32:15 57
2 Gimnasia Jujuy 31 15 9 7 47:38 54
3 Temperley 31 14 11 6 36:25 53
4 Atletico Atlanta 31 16 4 11 35:28 52
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 31 13 9 9 32:27 48
6 Midland 31 13 8 10 34:26 47
7 San Martin S.J. 31 12 9 10 33:30 45
8 Deportivo Maipu 31 12 8 11 38:31 44
9 Colegiales 31 12 7 12 31:31 43
10 Atl. Rafaela 31 11 9 11 25:27 42
11 San Martin T. 31 9 13 9 34:32 40
12 Quilmes 31 10 8 13 30:27 38
13 Nueva Chicago 31 9 9 13 23:29 36
14 Agropecuario 31 9 9 13 26:35 36
15 Almagro 31 9 8 14 26:37 35
16 Patronato 31 6 16 9 27:31 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 31 8 6 17 23:33 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 31 5 8 18 23:53 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)