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San Telmo vs Central Norte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Osvaldo Baletto, Dock Sud
San Telmo Logo

San Telmo

1 - 0
FT
Central Norte Logo

Central Norte

Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Paredes G.
46'
Sub
Castro T. In: Ribero M.
Out: Castro T.
46'
Sub
Mancuso G. In: Mateo J.
Out: Mancuso G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

San Telmo in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Telmo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
San Telmo
35%
Draws
30%
Central Norte
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Central Norte haven't matched San Telmo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans San Telmo's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors San Telmo here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
San Telmo Clean Sheet 20%
Central Norte Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Telmo Central Norte
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 9 15
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.73 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Central Norte
1:0
Jun 14, 2026 Primera Nacional
Central Norte vs San Telmo
0:0
Sep 14, 2025 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Central Norte
3:1
May 13, 2025 Primera Nacional
Central Norte vs San Telmo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Telmo Compare

Top Goalscorer Britez E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Central Norte Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Telmo 42 / 100
Central Norte 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Telmo Central Norte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Central Norte's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

San Telmo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: San Telmo scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Telmo VS Central Norte
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Telmo

(Home)
31 Oct
San Telmo
1 : 0
Central Norte
24 Oct
Deportivo Madryn
4 : 1
San Telmo
19 Oct
San Telmo
0 : 0
Defensores de Belgrano
11 Oct
Ciudad Bolivar
1 : 0
San Telmo
04 Oct
San Telmo
3 : 2
Almirante Brown
Page 1 of 6

Central Norte

(Away)
31 Oct
San Telmo
1 : 0
Central Norte
25 Oct
Central Norte
0 : 0
Acassuso
18 Oct
Chaco For Ever
1 : 2
Central Norte
11 Oct
Central Norte
1 : 1
Ferro
04 Oct
Central Norte
1 : 1
Racing Cordoba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Godoy Cruz 36 19 9 8 53:33 66
2 Ferro 36 19 9 8 38:31 66
3 Deportivo Moron 36 18 7 11 53:37 61
4 Deportivo Madryn 36 16 12 8 52:31 60
5 Colon Santa Fe 36 16 12 8 45:27 60
6 Almirante Brown 36 13 12 11 30:26 51
7 Ciudad Bolivar 36 13 12 11 30:33 51
8 CA Estudiantes 36 13 10 13 35:35 49
9 Chaco For Ever 36 12 10 14 39:37 46
10 Los Andes 36 9 16 11 27:26 43
11 All Boys 36 8 17 11 22:30 41
12 San Telmo 36 10 11 15 30:41 41
13 CA Mitre 36 8 16 12 31:42 40
14 Racing Cordoba 36 10 10 16 32:45 40
15 Defensores de Belgrano 36 8 15 13 25:34 39
16 Central Norte 36 7 17 12 23:32 38
17 Acassuso 36 8 11 17 25:35 35
18 San Miguel 36 6 15 15 27:42 33
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 36 16 16 4 34:16 64
2 Atletico Atlanta 36 19 5 12 42:34 62
3 Temperley 36 16 13 7 43:31 61
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 36 16 10 10 53:49 58
5 Midland 36 15 10 11 43:29 55
6 Deportivo Maipu 36 14 10 12 43:34 52
7 Colegiales 36 14 10 12 36:32 52
8 Gimnasia y Tiro 36 14 10 12 37:35 52
9 San Martin S.J. 36 13 12 11 42:36 51
10 San Martin T. 36 11 14 11 39:37 47
11 Atl. Rafaela 36 12 11 13 29:35 47
12 Agropecuario 36 12 10 14 31:39 46
13 Quilmes 36 12 9 15 33:30 45
14 Chacarita Juniors 36 12 6 18 29:35 42
15 Almagro 36 11 9 16 33:44 42
16 Patronato 36 7 17 12 29:35 38
17 Nueva Chicago 36 9 10 17 25:36 37
18 Club Atletico Guemes 36 6 9 21 28:62 27
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)