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Sanat Naft vs Aluminium Arak - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Takhti Stadium, Abadan
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sanat Naft host Aluminium Arak in the Persian Gulf Pro League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Sanat Naft at 1.03 goals for, 0.76 against; Aluminium Arak at 0.81 for, 0.81 against. Past meetings favor Aluminium Arak slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 23, 2024, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 0.81, favoring Sanat Naft. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Sanat Naft
35%
Draws
53%
Aluminium Arak
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aluminium Arak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Sanat Naft carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Aluminium Arak taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Sanat Naft Clean Sheet 20%
Aluminium Arak Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanat Naft Aluminium Arak
Matches Played 34 26
Wins 14 7
Draws 12 11
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.03 0.81
Goals Conceded 0.76 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2024 Hazfi Cup
Sanat Naft vs Aluminium Arak
1:0
May 11, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Sanat Naft
1:1
Dec 8, 2023 Persian Gulf Pro League
Sanat Naft vs Aluminium Arak
1:2
Jan 27, 2023 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Sanat Naft
3:1
Aug 19, 2022 Persian Gulf Pro League
Sanat Naft vs Aluminium Arak
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanat Naft 20 / 100
Aluminium Arak 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanat Naft Aluminium Arak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aluminium Arak Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Sanat Naft's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Aluminium Arak let in goals in 58% of their last 26 matches.

Solid form: Sanat Naft remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sanat Naft VS Aluminium Arak
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanat Naft

(Home)
09 Oct
Persepolis
3 : 1
Sanat Naft
12 Sept
Sanat Naft
1 : 2
Chadormalu
06 Sept
Paykan
2 : 0
Sanat Naft
02 Sept
Sanat Naft
0 : 0
Sepahan
29 Aug
Mes Shahr Babak
0 : 0
Sanat Naft
Page 1 of 7

Aluminium Arak

(Away)
08 Oct
Aluminium Arak
1 : 1
Malavan
06 Sept
Aluminium Arak
0 : 0
Esteghlal TEH
01 Sept
Gol Gohar
0 : 2
Aluminium Arak
28 Aug
Aluminium Arak
2 : 2
Kheybar Khorramabad
23 Aug
Shams Azar Qazvin
1 : 2
Aluminium Arak
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tractor 8 5 2 1 9:2 17
2 Esteghlal TEH 8 4 4 0 10:2 16
3 Persepolis 6 4 1 1 12:3 13
4 Sepahan 7 4 1 2 11:5 13
5 Aluminium Arak 7 3 4 0 9:4 13
6 Gol Gohar 8 4 1 3 10:7 13
7 Foolad 7 3 3 1 7:4 12
8 Mazandaran 8 2 3 3 5:7 9
9 Paykan 7 2 2 3 5:6 8
10 Malavan 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
11 Chadormalu 7 2 2 3 4:9 8
12 Zob Ahan 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
13 Fajr Sepasi 7 1 4 2 4:9 7
14 Kheybar Khorramabad 6 1 3 2 8:8 6
15 Esteghlal Khuzestan 8 1 3 4 4:12 6
16 Shams Azar Qazvin 7 1 2 4 6:9 5
17 Mes Shahr Babak 8 0 5 3 6:12 5
18 Sanat Naft 7 0 4 3 2:8 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Azadegan League 2027/2028 (Main)