Sport Picks
Sancataldese vs Castrumfavara
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie D 2025/2026 
Match Events
26'
26'
Lo Iacono G.
33'
33'
Piazza A.
58'
58'
Piazza A.
AI Match Summary
Castrumfavara in this Coppa Italia Serie D 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Castrumfavara
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Castrumfavara lately — more wins on the board than Sancataldese.
- Castrumfavara are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Castrumfavara arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Castrumfavara, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sancataldese Clean Sheet 12%
Castrumfavara Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sancataldese | Castrumfavara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Castrumfavara vs Sancataldese
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Sancataldese vs Castrumfavara
2:1
Oct 22, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Sancataldese vs Castrumfavara
2:3
Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Castrumfavara vs Sancataldese
1:1
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Sancataldese vs Castrumfavara
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sancataldese Compare
Top Goalscorer Lo Iacono G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Taormina F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Castrumfavara Compare
Top Goalscorer Piazza A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Lo Duca L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sancataldese 10 / 100
Castrumfavara 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sancataldese Castrumfavara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Castrumfavara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Castrumfavara let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.
Sancataldese's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Sancataldese stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sancataldese VS Castrumfavara
0.5 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sancataldese
(Home) 03 May
A.C. Savoia
3 : 0 Sancataldese
26 Apr
Sancataldese
1 : 1 Lamezia
19 Apr
USD Ragusa
0 : 0 Sancataldese
12 Apr
Sancataldese
0 : 1 Gelbison
02 Apr
Vibonese
0 : 2 Sancataldese
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Sancataldese
1 : 1 Lamezia
12 Apr
Sancataldese
0 : 1 Gelbison
29 Mar
Sancataldese
1 : 5 Nissa
15 Mar
Sancataldese
0 : 1 Sambiase
22 Feb
Sancataldese
1 : 0 Enna
Page 1 of 3
Castrumfavara
(Away) 16 Sept
Castrumfavara
1 : 1 Licata
13 Sept
Gela
2 : 1 Castrumfavara
06 Sept
Castrumfavara
3 : 0 Milazzo
03 May
Castrumfavara
2 : 2 Enna
26 Apr
Paterno
1 : 3 Castrumfavara
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Gela
2 : 1 Castrumfavara
26 Apr
Paterno
1 : 3 Castrumfavara
12 Apr
Athletic Palermo
0 : 3 Castrumfavara
29 Mar
Igea Virtus
3 : 2 Castrumfavara
15 Mar
Lamezia
1 : 2 Castrumfavara
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Asti Calcio 2
Chisola 0
Ligorna 1
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 3
Sestri Levante 0
Tau 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
SCD Progresso 1
Pavia 2
Sant'Angelo 0
Prato 2
Montevarchi 1
Correggese 2
Imolese 1
Sondrio 1
Breno 0
Folgore Caratese 2
Club Milano 3
AC Milan U23 2
Varesina 3
Brusaporto 0
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Chievo 0
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Vigasio 2
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Brian Lignano 2
Luparense FC 0
Mestre 1
Fossombrone 0
Ancona 1
Foligno 0
Atletico Ascoli 2
Orvietana 2
Siena 0
Follonica Gavorrano 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Termoli 0
Albalonga 2
Aquila Calcio 1
Grosseto 0
Unipomezia 1
Trastevere Calcio 2
Budoni Calcio 0
Martina Calcio 3
Sarnese 1
Ferrandina 2
Francavilla 3
A.C. Savoia 2
Paganese 1
Citta di Fasano 3
Gravina 0
Nocerina 4
Gelbison 2
Sambiase 0
Reggina 1
Castrumfavara 3
Igea Virtus 1
Enna 0
Sancataldese 2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio 3
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 0
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
Pavia 1
Prato 1
Correggese 4
Sondrio 0
Club Milano 3
Varesina 4
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Brian Lignano 0
Mestre 1
Ancona 1
Atletico Ascoli 0
Orvietana 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Albalonga 1
Unipomezia 3
Trastevere Calcio 1
Martina Calcio 1
Francavilla 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Citta di Fasano 4
Nocerina 3
Reggina 2
Castrumfavara 3
Sancataldese 2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 0
Correggese 1
Club Milano 1
Varesina 0
Este 1
Mestre 2
Ancona 2
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 3
Citta di Fasano 2
Nocerina 2
Castrumfavara 0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese 2
Correggese 0
Club Milano 1
Mestre 0
Ancona 2
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 1
Nocerina 0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese 3
Club Milano 1
Ancona 2
Francavilla 1
Final
Pistoiese 3
Ancona 0
