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Sancataldese vs Nuova Gioiese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Calabrese F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 game between Sancataldese and Nuova Gioiese finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sancataldese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sancataldese
30%
Draws
34%
Nuova Gioiese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sancataldese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Nuova Gioiese haven't matched Sancataldese's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Sancataldese taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Sancataldese Clean Sheet 18%
Nuova Gioiese Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sancataldese Nuova Gioiese
Matches Played 41 29
Wins 13 2
Draws 9 3
Losses 19 24
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Sancataldese vs Nuova Gioiese
1:0
Oct 4, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Nuova Gioiese vs Sancataldese
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sancataldese Compare

Top Goalscorer Calabrese F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Nuova Gioiese Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sancataldese 36 / 100
Nuova Gioiese 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sancataldese Nuova Gioiese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nuova Gioiese has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Sancataldese scored in 66% of their last 41 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sancataldese has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sancataldese VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trapani34304095:1594
2Siracusa34256379:2681
3Vibonese34226667:2972
4Reggina34198754:2565
5AS Acireale341591039:4154
6S. Agata341571246:3552
7Real Casalnuovo341561352:4951
8USD Ragusa341481241:3850
9Canicatti341461455:5148
10Igea Virtus341361538:4045
11Licata341271543:5443
12Akragas341261642:5342
13Sancataldese349101532:4337
14Portici 190634881832:5532
15San Luca346121637:5529
16Locri 190934772034:6828
17Castrovillari342122029:7617
18Nuova Gioiese34322918:8011
19Lamezia Terme00000:00