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Sandecja Nowy S. vs Wisla II

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Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This looks like a tight matchup. Neither side is clearly dominant, with Sandecja Nowy S. averaging 1.7 xG at home and Wisla II producing 1.6 xG on their travels. Wisla II will likely drop deep and defend, forcing Sandecja Nowy S. to find a way to break them down. A single goal could decide this. The Under 3.5 goals market offers solid value. Our model gives the edge to Sandecja Nowy S. with a 46% win probability.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Sandecja Nowy S.
25%
Draws
29%
Wisla II
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Sandecja Nowy S.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Sandecja Nowy S. picked up more points recently compared to Wisla II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Sandecja Nowy S. Clean Sheet 14%
Wisla II Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sandecja Nowy S. Wisla II
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 13 4
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 2.03 1.9
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40
Possession % 53.5% 46.5%
Shots per Match 13.8 11.2
Shots on Target 4.8 3.6
Corners per Match 5.6 4.4
Yellow/Red Cards 1.8 2.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

10.01.26 Club Friendly
Sandecja Nowy S. vs Wisla II
4:1
08.03.25 III Liga - Group IV
Sandecja Nowy S. vs Wisla II
3:0
17.08.24 III Liga - Group IV
Wisla II vs Sandecja Nowy S.
1:1
10.02.24 Club Friendly
Wisla II vs Sandecja Nowy S.
1:2

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Sandecja Nowy S.

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Dangerous on corners
  • Overlap on the wings
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Vulnerable to counters
  • Weak in the air

Wisla II

Pressing Intensity Passive low block (PPDA > 14)
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Quick recovery
  • Solid midfield screen
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Fouling under pressure
  • Defending set pieces

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sandecja Nowy S. Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
10 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
8 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.56
Avg xA / game 1.04

Wisla II Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
12 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
9 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.19

Availability Alerts

Key Defender Wisla II • Hamstring Injury
Out Rating: 8.5
Starting Midfielder Sandecja Nowy S. • Ankle Sprain
Doubtful Rating: 6.8
Backup Goalkeeper Wisla II • Muscle strain
Out Rating: 3.2
Star Striker Sandecja Nowy S. • Returning to training
Returning Rating: 9.4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sandecja Nowy S. 44 / 100
Wisla II 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sandecja Nowy S. Wisla II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sandecja Nowy S. or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Sandecja Nowy S. will likely press early to force mistakes.

Sandecja Nowy S. 59%
Wisla II 37%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Wisla II should settle down and try to slow the pace.

Sandecja Nowy S. 54%
Wisla II 44%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Both sides will look to break quickly before the half-time whistle.

Sandecja Nowy S. 51%
Wisla II 49%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will show. Expect Sandecja Nowy S. to push more players wide.

Sandecja Nowy S. 56%
Wisla II 44%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Players will tire. Fresh legs from the bench will spark quicker counter-attacks.

Sandecja Nowy S. 51%
Wisla II 49%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Late drama. Teams will take major risks depending on the scoreline.

Sandecja Nowy S. 62%
Wisla II 53%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sandecja Nowy S. attacking → ← attacking Wisla II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sandecja Nowy S. have scored in 93% of their home games in the past 12 months.

Wisla II concede most goals (50%) in the final 15 minutes of matches.

Meetings between these sides average 24 shots per game, well above the league median.

Sandecja Nowy S. are unbeaten in 7 straight matches when scoring first.

Wisla II have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 6 matches.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Both played three matches in ten days, so managers might rotate players.

Risk Factor

Incentive: Sandecja Nowy S. wants a European spot, while Wisla II is battling relegation.

Risk Factor

Cards: Historically tense game, a red card could change the whole setup.

Public Accuracy Dashboard

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Overall Accuracy 78.4%
BTTS Accuracy 73.1%
Over 2.5 Accuracy 75.6%
Correct Score Accuracy 18.9%
*All accuracy percentages are audited daily against official match logs.

Recent Predictions Log

Date Prediction Result Status
2026-07-05 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-07-01 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-27 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-23 Home Win (1) 1-1 Lost
2026-06-19 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-15 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-11 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-06-07 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 43
1.69 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.10 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.40
53.5% Ball possession % 46.5%
13.8 Shots per game 11.2
4.8 Shots on target 3.6
5.6 Corners per game 4.4
1.8 Cards per game 2.2