Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sandefjord vs Start - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Jotun Arena, Sandefjord
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Gigovic E.
45'
Toure O.
46'
Sub
Koutsakos N. In: Cornelius J.
Out: Koutsakos N.

AI Match Summary

Sandefjord in this Eliteserien matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sandefjord.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Sandefjord
20%
Draws
48%
Start
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Start

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sandefjord have won more games recently than Start.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sandefjord Clean Sheet 20%
Start Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sandefjord Start
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.75 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.14 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Eliteserien
Sandefjord vs Start
3:0
Mar 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Sandefjord vs Start
3:2
Mar 5, 2023 Club Friendly
Start vs Sandefjord
1:0
May 2, 2021 Club Friendly
Start vs Sandefjord
1:1
Mar 27, 2021 Club Friendly
Start vs Sandefjord
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sandefjord Compare

Top Goalscorer Gigovic E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pettersen E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Start Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sandefjord 32 / 100
Start 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sandefjord Start

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Start conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Sandefjord found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Sandefjord has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sandefjord VS Start
3 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sandefjord

(Home)
30 Sept
Flint
0 : 1
Sandefjord
20 Sept
Sandefjord
3 : 0
Start
14 Sept
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 2
Sandefjord
04 Sept
Sandefjord
1 : 1
Viking
30 Aug
Sandefjord
0 : 0
Brann
Page 1 of 6

Start

(Away)
06 Oct
Raufoss
1 : 5
Start
02 Oct
Start
2 : 1
Brann
20 Sept
Sandefjord
3 : 0
Start
16 Sept
Vindbjart
2 : 3
Start
13 Sept
Start
2 : 0
Brann
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viking 21 16 2 3 54:20 50
2 Bodo/Glimt 21 16 2 3 53:19 50
3 Tromso 21 11 5 5 40:29 38
4 Molde 21 11 3 7 44:32 36
5 Rosenborg 21 10 3 8 39:30 33
6 Lillestrom 21 10 2 9 28:29 32
7 Brann 21 9 2 10 39:32 29
8 Fredrikstad 21 8 4 9 25:32 28
9 Sarpsborg 08 21 6 7 8 24:29 25
10 KFUM Oslo 21 7 4 10 25:35 25
11 Sandefjord 21 6 5 10 21:27 23
12 Valerenga 21 6 5 10 34:43 23
13 Ham-Kam 21 6 5 10 29:44 23
14 Aalesund 21 4 9 8 33:46 21
15 Kristiansund 21 5 4 12 21:40 19
16 Start 21 4 4 13 22:44 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)