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Sandersdorf vs Bautzen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sandersdorf host Bautzen in the Oberliga NOFV- Sud. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Bautzen have shipped 2.25 goals a game lately, while Sandersdorf have conceded 1.52 and scored 1.52. Head-to-head, Sandersdorf have won 1 to Bautzen's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (3.06 - 1.63) back Bautzen to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Sandersdorf
30%
Draws
47%
Bautzen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bautzen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Bautzen at 1.64 per game, Sandersdorf at 1.52.
  • Sandersdorf are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Sud form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Sandersdorf Clean Sheet 14%
Bautzen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sandersdorf Bautzen
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.52 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Sandersdorf
3:1
Sep 27, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Sandersdorf vs Bautzen
0:0
Apr 27, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Sandersdorf
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Sandersdorf vs Bautzen
3:1
Apr 7, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Sandersdorf
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sandersdorf 35 / 100
Bautzen 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sandersdorf Bautzen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bautzen has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Sandersdorf's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sandersdorf stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sandersdorf VS Bautzen
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Sandersdorf

(Home)
10 Oct
Plauen
3 : 3
Sandersdorf
25 Sept
Sandersdorf
1 : 4
Halle
20 Sept
Halberstadt
3 : 1
Sandersdorf
11 Sept
Sandersdorf
0 : 1
Meuselwitz
29 Aug
1.FC Frankfurt
0 : 8
Sandersdorf
Page 1 of 7

Bautzen

(Away)
11 Oct
Bautzen
2 : 0
SSC Weissenfels
26 Sept
Krieschow
1 : 1
Bautzen
20 Sept
Bautzen
3 : 2
Glauchau
12 Sept
Einheit Wernigerode
2 : 2
Bautzen
28 Aug
Bautzen
0 : 3
Auerbach
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halberstadt 7 6 1 0 23:4 19
2 Meuselwitz 7 6 1 0 16:5 19
3 Eilenburg 7 5 1 1 25:10 16
4 Auerbach 7 4 2 1 16:8 14
5 Halle 7 4 0 3 15:14 12
6 Dresden II 7 2 5 0 11:6 11
7 Plauen 7 2 3 2 12:10 9
8 SSC Weissenfels 7 3 0 4 10:12 9
9 Bautzen 7 2 3 2 10:13 9
10 Sandersdorf 7 2 1 4 16:13 7
11 Freital 7 1 4 2 12:13 7
12 Einheit Wernigerode 7 1 4 2 12:18 7
13 Krieschow 7 1 2 4 7:18 5
14 Glauchau 7 0 3 4 6:13 3
15 1.FC Frankfurt 7 1 0 6 7:26 3
16 Einheit Rudolstadt 7 0 2 5 5:20 2
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2027/2028 (Main)