Sport Picks

Germany

Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 Hardtwaldstadion

Sandhausen

1 - 3

FC 08 Homburg

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Mendler M.

45'

Busch S.

51'

El Helwe H.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 game between Sandhausen and FC 08 Homburg finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC 08 Homburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Sandhausen

22%

Draws

18%

FC 08 Homburg

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Sandhausen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and FC 08 Homburg come out ahead of Sandhausen on wins alone.
Sandhausen are the model's pick here, at 60%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

Sandhausen Clean Sheet 11%

FC 08 Homburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sandhausen	FC 08 Homburg
Matches Played	25	29
Wins	12	16
Draws	4	4
Losses	9	9
Goals Scored	1.63	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.88	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Regionalliga Sudwest

Sandhausen vs FC 08 Homburg

Possession: 49% - 57% Cards: 1 - 2

1:3

Nov 15, 2025 Regionalliga Sudwest

FC 08 Homburg vs Sandhausen

Possession: 60% - 47% Cards: 0 - 2

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sandhausen Compare

Top Goalscorer Testroet P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

FC 08 Homburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendler M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Busch S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sandhausen 56 / 100

FC 08 Homburg 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sandhausen FC 08 Homburg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sandhausen's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Defensive concern: FC 08 Homburg conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Sandhausen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sandhausen VS FC 08 Homburg

1.63 Goals Scored 1.75

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88

75% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sonnenhof Grossaspach	34	20	8	6	86:43	68
2	Freiberg	34	18	8	8	68:38	62
3	FSV Frankfurt	34	16	9	9	64:48	57
4	FC 08 Homburg	34	15	11	8	71:42	56
5	TSV Steinbach Haiger	34	16	8	10	78:58	56
6	Kassel	34	15	9	10	62:51	54
7	Stutt. Kickers	34	17	3	14	51:44	54
8	Sandhausen	34	16	6	12	53:56	54
9	Mainz II	34	14	11	9	52:45	53
10	Fulda-Lehnerz	34	13	10	11	51:44	49
11	Freiburg II	34	14	6	14	74:73	48
12	Astoria Walldorf	34	13	8	13	64:65	47
13	Eintracht Trier	34	13	8	13	48:52	47
14	Kickers Offenbach	34	11	10	13	57:58	43
15	Alzenau	34	7	6	21	45:74	27
16	Schott Mainz	34	7	4	23	40:83	25
17	Balingen	34	6	7	21	38:87	25
18	Bahlinger	34	4	10	20	34:75	22