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Sandnes Ulf 2 vs Stord

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Andal L.
45' Event
Ekeland R. B.
50' Event
Arifagic D.

AI Match Summary

Stord in this Division 3 - Group 5 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stord.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sandnes Ulf 2
20%
Draws
80%
Stord
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stord

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Stord have won more games recently than Sandnes Ulf 2.
  • Stord are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 5 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Stord here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Sandnes Ulf 2 Clean Sheet 16%
Stord Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sandnes Ulf 2 Stord
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 3 11
Draws 1 11
Losses 26 11
Goals Scored 1.33 1.97
Goals Conceded 3.4 2.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Sandnes Ulf 2 vs Stord
3:4
Jul 19, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Stord vs Sandnes Ulf 2
2:0
Aug 25, 2023 Division 3 - Group 3
Stord vs Sandnes Ulf 2
2:0
Jul 2, 2023 Division 3 - Group 3
Sandnes Ulf 2 vs Stord
2:1
Sep 24, 2022 Division 3 - Group 3
Stord vs Sandnes Ulf 2
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sandnes Ulf 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Arifagic D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Helle D. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Stord Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekeland R. B.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Andal L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sandnes Ulf 2 10 / 100
Stord 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sandnes Ulf 2 Stord

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stord Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stord's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Sandnes Ulf 2 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Stord has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Stord
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sandnes Ulf 2

(Home)
26 Oct
Viking 2
8 : 1
Sandnes Ulf 2
19 Oct
Sandnes Ulf 2
2 : 5
Vag
13 Oct
Hinna
4 : 1
Sandnes Ulf 2
06 Oct
Sandnes Ulf 2
0 : 4
Haugesund 2
28 Sept
Staal Jorpeland
5 : 2
Sandnes Ulf 2
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Stord

(Away)
26 Sept
Fyllingsdalen
1 : 2
Stord
17 Sept
Stord
3 : 4
Djerv 1919
12 Sept
Askoy
3 : 3
Stord
05 Sept
Stord
3 : 5
Fana
30 Aug
Forde
1 : 1
Stord
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