Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sandnes Ulf vs Moss

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Øster Hus Arena, Sandnes
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Nsoni Z.
41' Event
Nyhagen A.
Assist: de Lanlay Y.
46'
Sub
Alexandersson N. In: Vold Krohg H.
Out: Alexandersson N.

AI Match Summary

Moss in this OBOS-ligaen matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Moss.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sandnes Ulf
20%
Draws
40%
Moss
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Sandnes Ulf have won more games recently than Moss.
  • Model gives Sandnes Ulf a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular OBOS-ligaen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Sandnes Ulf Clean Sheet 10%
Moss Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sandnes Ulf Moss
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.84 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.65 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Sandnes Ulf vs Moss
1:2
Jun 21, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Moss vs Sandnes Ulf
1:4
Sep 25, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Moss vs Sandnes Ulf
6:1
May 4, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Sandnes Ulf vs Moss
3:3
Aug 13, 2023 OBOS-ligaen
Sandnes Ulf vs Moss
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sandnes Ulf Compare

Top Goalscorer Nyhagen A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Moss Compare

Top Goalscorer Semmen N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sandnes Ulf 47 / 100
Moss 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sandnes Ulf Moss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sandnes Ulf Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sandnes Ulf's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Moss's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Sandnes Ulf stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sandnes Ulf VS Moss
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sandnes Ulf

(Home)
20 Sept
Sandnes Ulf
1 : 2
Moss
16 Sept
Arendal
1 : 2
Sandnes Ulf
13 Sept
Stromsgodset
4 : 1
Sandnes Ulf
05 Sept
Sandnes Ulf
1 : 1
Ranheim
30 Aug
Raufoss
0 : 3
Sandnes Ulf
Page 1 of 7

Moss

(Away)
20 Sept
Sandnes Ulf
1 : 2
Moss
13 Sept
Moss
1 : 4
Haugesund
05 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 3
Moss
30 Aug
Moss
1 : 2
Strommen
26 Aug
Moss
2 : 2
Sogndal
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haugesund 23 17 1 5 72:39 52
2 Kongsvinger 23 15 5 3 68:35 50
3 Stromsgodset 23 14 6 3 60:31 48
4 Stabaek 23 14 3 6 57:29 45
5 Odds BK 23 10 6 7 47:36 36
6 Bryne 23 11 2 10 32:31 35
7 Hodd 23 10 4 9 38:45 34
8 Egersund 23 8 5 10 36:44 29
9 Ranheim 23 8 4 11 56:58 28
10 Lyn 23 8 4 11 39:48 28
11 Moss 23 7 4 12 38:52 25
12 Strommen 23 7 4 12 35:52 25
13 Sandnes Ulf 23 7 3 13 32:42 24
14 Sogndal 23 6 5 12 38:53 23
15 Asane 23 5 5 13 34:52 19
16 Raufoss 23 6 1 16 26:61 19
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)