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Sandomierz vs Chelmianka Chelm Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Abate L.
36' Event
Bobrov V.
42' Event
Knap J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group IV 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Sandomierz
35%
Draws
45%
Chelmianka Chelm
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chelmianka Chelm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Sandomierz haven't matched Chelmianka Chelm's recent run of results.
  • Chelmianka Chelm are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Sandomierz Clean Sheet 14%
Chelmianka Chelm Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sandomierz Chelmianka Chelm
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 19
Draws 6 9
Losses 18 3
Goals Scored 1.23 1.94
Goals Conceded 2.9 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
Sandomierz vs Chelmianka Chelm
2:2
Sep 25, 2022 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Sandomierz
1:1
Apr 16, 2022 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Sandomierz
4:3
Sep 8, 2021 III Liga - Group IV
Sandomierz vs Chelmianka Chelm
0:2
Feb 28, 2021 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Sandomierz
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sandomierz Compare

Top Goalscorer Abate L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Chelmianka Chelm Compare

Top Goalscorer Bobrov V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Knap J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sandomierz 10 / 100
Chelmianka Chelm 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sandomierz Chelmianka Chelm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chelmianka Chelm Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Sandomierz scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Chelmianka Chelm conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Sandomierz remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chelmianka Chelm
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sandomierz

(Home)
10 Feb
Lysica Bodzentyn
8 : 2
Sandomierz
17 Jun
Sandomierz
0 : 4
Avia Swidnik
10 Jun
Stal Stalowa Wola
7 : 0
Sandomierz
04 Jun
Sandomierz
5 : 3
Korona Kielce II
27 May
Orleta Radzyn
0 : 0
Sandomierz
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Chelmianka Chelm

(Away)
04 Oct
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2
Chelmianka Chelm
26 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1
Biala Podlaska
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0
Chelmianka Chelm
12 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
05 Sept
Wisla II
0 : 2
Chelmianka Chelm
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stal Stalowa Wola 34 23 5 6 72:27 74
2 Avia Swidnik 34 19 11 4 58:26 68
3 KS Wieczysta Krakow 34 20 7 7 75:35 67
4 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 34 17 7 10 61:36 58
5 Biala Podlaska 34 14 13 7 63:42 55
6 Cracovia II 34 16 6 12 69:48 54
7 Wisloka Debica 34 15 7 12 54:46 52
8 Sokol Sieniawa 34 14 6 14 57:65 48
9 Czarni Polaniec 34 15 2 17 47:58 47
10 Podhale Nowy Targ 34 13 6 15 59:47 45
11 Orleta Radzyn 34 13 4 17 44:63 43
12 Chelmianka Chelm 34 10 10 14 45:47 40
13 Unia Tarnow 34 10 10 14 43:66 40
14 Wiazownica 34 11 7 16 49:59 40
15 Korona Kielce II 34 10 9 15 63:58 39
16 Sandomierz 34 7 6 21 40:91 27
17 Lublinianka 34 7 2 25 43:92 23
18 LKS Lagow 34 11 4 19 27:63 37
Promotion - Division 2 2023/2024 (Main)